TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Celsius's point-of-sale growth for August 2026, focusing on whether year-over-year sales changes meet specific thresholds. The outcome depends on reported data from Carbon Arc, reflecting consumer purchasing behavior through both in-store and online channels. The event examines different levels of sales decline to assess varied market expectations.
These markets resolve based on Carbon Arc's reported Celsius Point of Sale Growth index for August 2026, measuring year-over-year change where 100 indicates equal sales to the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. All markets use the first reported value from Carbon Arc, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index is calculated using receipt-scanning and rewards app data that matches purchases to the same period in the previous year, updating daily as new information becomes available. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with Celsius or any associated entities, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the reported growth percentage exceeds the specified negative threshold for each respective market (-21%, -17.5%, -14%, -10.5%, or -7%).
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on official sales figures or reputable industry analyses released after August. Until then, all trading remains speculative, and the market price will continue to reflect the latest expectations and volume of $5,206 as participants assess upcoming catalysts and data releases.
Key signals that could shift this market include major announcements from Celsius, changes in consumer spending patterns, economic data releases, and competitive activity from rival brands. Any surprise growth or slowdown in point-of-sale transactions during August would directly affect trader sentiment. Watch for weekly sales reports, marketing campaigns, and macroeconomic indicators, all of which can cause rapid price changes and spikes in 24-hour volume of $75 as participants react to new information.