TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Castrovillari Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket

Castrovillari Mayoral Election Winner

Volume:
$15,496

Anna De Gaio

 - Polymarket

Anna De Gaio - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anna De Gaio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
11.1¢
N/A
$6,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ernesto Bello

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

The 2026 Castrovillari, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Castrovillari as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Castrovillari.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and local political dynamics that polls may lag in capturing. While polls provide a snapshot of voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets reflect continuous reassessment by participants with financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the Castrovillari mayoral race, comparing Polymarket odds to recent local polling can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors—such as endorsements, turnout expectations, or recent developments—that surveys have not yet fully reflected.

The Castrovillari Mayoral Election Winner market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official results of the mayoral election in Castrovillari. The market will settle once the winning candidate is officially declared by the relevant electoral authority. Traders should monitor local election announcements and official sources to stay informed of any changes to the election date or procedural details that might affect market resolution timing.

Key catalysts for price movement in this market include candidate endorsements, campaign events, local media coverage, and shifts in voter sentiment as reflected in new polling or surveys. Major political developments—such as scandals, policy announcements, or coalition changes—can rapidly reshape trader expectations. Turnout forecasts and demographic shifts in Castrovillari may also influence odds. Additionally, any changes to the election date, candidate eligibility, or ballot structure would trigger immediate repricing. Monitor local news and campaign activity closely for signals that could shift market probabilities.