TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
The 2026 Castelfranco Veneto, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Castelfranco Veneto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Castelfranco Veneto.
On Polymarket, the Castelfranco Veneto Mayoral Election Winner market uses an automated market maker to price each candidate outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each candidate, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. As trading volume increases, prices adjust to balance supply and demand. The current odds reflect the latest consensus among active traders on Polymarket, updated continuously throughout the trading day as new information and bets flow in.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, following the official conclusion of the Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election. Resolution is determined by the official election results announced by Italian electoral authorities. The candidate receiving the most votes in the election will be confirmed as the winner. Markets typically settle within days of the official result being published, ensuring accuracy and finality. Traders should monitor official Italian municipal election announcements for confirmation of the winning candidate.
Key catalysts include candidate endorsements, campaign rallies, local media coverage, and shifts in regional political alliances. Unexpected scandals or withdrawals could dramatically reshape odds. Polling releases specific to Castelfranco Veneto will influence trader positioning. Turnout expectations and voter registration changes may also move prices. National Italian political developments affecting local races, coalition changes, or major policy announcements could ripple into mayoral race pricing. Social media sentiment and grassroots campaign momentum often precede formal polling and can trigger sharp market moves.