TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Castelfranco Veneto Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket

Castelfranco Veneto Mayoral Election Winner

Volume:
$12,872

Maria Wanjera Ghimenton

 - Polymarket

Maria Wanjera Ghimenton - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Maria Wanjera Ghimenton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$5,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luca Pozzobon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

The 2026 Castelfranco Veneto, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Castelfranco Veneto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Castelfranco Veneto.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling averages because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and ground-level sentiment that surveys may lag. While polls capture voter intent at a single moment, prediction markets continuously update as new events unfold. For the Castelfranco Veneto mayoral race, market prices may reflect insider knowledge, local political dynamics, or late-breaking developments faster than published polls. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in factors polls have not yet captured.

On Polymarket, the Castelfranco Veneto Mayoral Election Winner market uses an automated market maker to price each candidate outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each candidate, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. As trading volume increases, prices adjust to balance supply and demand. The current odds reflect the latest consensus among active traders on Polymarket, updated continuously throughout the trading day as new information and bets flow in.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, following the official conclusion of the Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election. Resolution is determined by the official election results announced by Italian electoral authorities. The candidate receiving the most votes in the election will be confirmed as the winner. Markets typically settle within days of the official result being published, ensuring accuracy and finality. Traders should monitor official Italian municipal election announcements for confirmation of the winning candidate.

Key catalysts include candidate endorsements, campaign rallies, local media coverage, and shifts in regional political alliances. Unexpected scandals or withdrawals could dramatically reshape odds. Polling releases specific to Castelfranco Veneto will influence trader positioning. Turnout expectations and voter registration changes may also move prices. National Italian political developments affecting local races, coalition changes, or major policy announcements could ripple into mayoral race pricing. Social media sentiment and grassroots campaign momentum often precede formal polling and can trigger sharp market moves.