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406,065

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Canada unemployment rate in May
kalshi

Canada unemployment rate in May

Volume:
$4,960

Above 6.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 6.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:25 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 6.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
$625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,249
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,129
N/A
N/A
$549
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$431
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Canada's unemployment rate will exceed 6.5% during May 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that the rate surpasses this threshold—stands at 97.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Statistics Canada data for May 2026, with settlement expected around June 12, 2026. Watch for Statistics Canada's Labour Force Survey release in mid-June, which will provide the definitive May unemployment figure and trigger market resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The Odds & Prediction Markets dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the Canada unemployment rate in May event. You can monitor the current implied probability of the top outcome, review 24-hour trading volume of $997, and observe how trader sentiment has shifted since the market opened. The dashboard displays live bid-ask spreads, cumulative volume of $4,960, and a price history chart that reveals how market expectations have evolved as new economic data and policy announcements emerge.

The Canada unemployment rate in May market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official unemployment rate figure released by Statistics Canada for May. The market outcome depends on which predefined unemployment rate range or threshold the actual reported figure falls into. Traders should monitor Statistics Canada's Labour Force Survey releases and any preliminary or revised employment data that may affect the final May reading. The exact resolution criteria and outcome categories are specified in the market's terms on Kalshi.

Several key catalysts could shift Canada unemployment rate in May market prices before resolution. Monthly employment reports from Statistics Canada, particularly April and May Labour Force Survey releases, will provide direct signals about job creation, labor force participation, and unemployment trends. Federal and provincial policy announcements, interest rate decisions by the Bank of Canada, and broader North American economic data also influence trader expectations. Global economic slowdowns, sector-specific disruptions, and seasonal employment patterns in May could all trigger repricing. Real-time market moves typically accelerate as the official May unemployment figure approaches release.