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Canada unemployment rate in August
kalshi

What will Canada's unemployment rate be in August?

Volume:
$3,504

Above 6.3%

 - Kalshi

Above 6.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 8:25 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 6.3%

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.5%

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,539
N/A
N/A
$1,167
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.4%

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,222
N/A
N/A
$664
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.9%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.0%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.1%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.6%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.7%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

The Canadian unemployment rate reflects the percentage of the labor force that is jobless and actively seeking employment. A higher rate often signals economic weakness or challenges in job creation, impacting government policies and consumer spending.

Kalshi

This event tracks multiple thresholds for Canada’s unemployment rate in August 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the reported rate exceeds its specific threshold, ranging from above 6.0% to above 6.9%. The outcome depends solely on the official Statistics Canada figure for that month, with no revisions considered after the initial release. Thresholds are incremental, meaning higher-threshold markets are stricter conditions.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Canada unemployment rate market shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It tracks how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different unemployment rate outcomes for Canada in August, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and trading activity for this specific economic indicator.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects the aggregated view of active traders who continuously adjust their positions based on new data, economic releases, and shifting expectations. While analysts may publish periodic reports, prediction market odds provide a real-time barometer of market sentiment, often reacting faster to breaking news and polling updates.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely result as assessed by participants. The market price adjusts instantly to new information flows, economic indicators, and shifts in trader confidence about Canada’s labor market performance for the month.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Canadian labor statistics are published and verified against credible public sources. The final unemployment rate reported for August will determine which market outcome is settled, aligning with publicly available government data.