TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the fluctuation of California's regular gas prices on a specific future date. It reflects how fuel costs can vary based on supply, demand, and geopolitical factors. The outcome depends on whether prices cross certain thresholds, offering insight into economic conditions affecting everyday consumers.
The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for California’s average regular gas prices on October 26, 2026, using data from AAA. Each market corresponds to a specific price level, and the event resolves to "Yes" for any market where the actual average price exceeds the stated threshold. The thresholds range incrementally from $5.9850 to $6.0650. If the price meets or exceeds any of these levels, the respective market closes as "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No". The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of prices reaching various points on a continuum, with each threshold acting as a distinct predictive measure of California’s fuel cost landscape for that day.