TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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California gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

California gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$88,995

Above 6.3150

 - Kalshi

Above 6.3150 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 6.3150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,881
N/A
N/A
$11,381
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.3300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,034
N/A
N/A
$1,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.3100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,050
N/A
N/A
$2,050
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.3250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.3200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.3650

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,554
N/A
N/A
$21,554
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,151
N/A
N/A
$11,151
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3450

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,950
N/A
N/A
$7,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,931
N/A
N/A
$4,793
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3750

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,167
N/A
N/A
$3,167
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3850

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,268
N/A
N/A
$3,238
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,680
N/A
N/A
$2,680
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3900

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,626
N/A
N/A
$2,626
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3550

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,725
N/A
N/A
$1,725
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3700

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,350
N/A
N/A
$1,350
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3350

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,179
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.3600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
$1,150
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the fluctuation of California's regular gas prices on a specific future date. It reflects how fuel costs can vary based on supply, demand, and geopolitical factors. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds, offering insight into economic conditions impacting consumers.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for California’s average regular gas price on October 9, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price level, ranging from $6.3100 to $6.3900. For any given threshold, if the actual average price strictly exceeds that threshold, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The structure allows participants to assess the probability of prices reaching various levels, effectively creating a granular spectrum of possible outcomes for California gas costs on the specified day.