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CA-40 primary: first place
kalshi

CA-40 primary: first place

Volume:
$32,681

Ken Calvert

 - Kalshi

Ken Calvert - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 8:34 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ken Calvert

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,618
N/A
N/A
$3,913
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Young Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,792
N/A
N/A
$5,769
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Esther Kim Varet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,886
N/A
N/A
$1,315
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Nina Linh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Francis Hoffman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Claude Keissieh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Joe Kerr

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Lisa Ramirez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks whether Young Kim will finish first in California's 40th congressional district primary election scheduled for 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of Young Kim placing first stands at 83.0%, according to the platform's current odds. Resolution will be determined by official primary results from California election authorities. Watch the filing deadline and candidate announcements leading up to the June 2026 primary election to assess the competitive field and potential challengers.

Kalshi

The CA-40 primary resolves based on which candidate receives the most votes in the 2026 primary election. The market outcome corresponds to the first-place finisher among all candidates competing in the district primary. Resolution is determined solely by official vote totals from the primary election.

Frequently asked questions

The CA-40 primary: first place market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official results of California's 40th congressional district primary election. The market will settle based on which candidate receives the most votes in that primary contest. Traders should monitor official election results and any recount or certification processes that may follow voting day to understand the final outcome.

Several catalysts could shift odds for CA-40 primary: first place before Nov 3, 2026. Major campaign announcements, endorsements from prominent local or national figures, and fundraising disclosures often trigger repricing. Debate performances, media coverage, and candidate gaffes can sway trader sentiment rapidly. Polling releases specific to the district provide data points traders incorporate into valuations. Turnout models, voter registration trends, and late-breaking news about candidate viability or scandals may also move the market. Traders continuously update positions as these signals emerge.