CA-29 primary: Who will advance?

Key catalysts include campaign announcements, endorsements from prominent state or national figures, and major media coverage of the race. Fundraising reports and debate performances can shift voter sentiment and trader expectations. Late-breaking scandals or gaffes involving leading candidates may trigger sharp price moves. Polling releases closer to election day typically have outsized impact, as they reduce uncertainty. Ground-game developments, voter registration trends, and turnout models also influence market pricing. Traders watch for any shifts in candidate viability or unexpected candidate entries or withdrawals.