TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CA-14 Special Election Winner?
polymarket

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Volume:
$167,335

Aisha Wahab

 - Polymarket

Aisha Wahab - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 7:34 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Aisha Wahab

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Melissa Hernandez

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Carin Elam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Victor Aguilar Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matt Ortega

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rakhi Israni Singh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wendy Huang

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person R

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person T

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will win the special election to represent California's 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. On Polymarket, Aisha Wahab holds 89.5% probability, while Rakhi Israni Singh stands at 10.3%. Resolution will be determined by official sources including the California Secretary of State. The special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026, and results must be definitively known by December 31, 2026 to avoid an "Other" resolution.

Polymarket

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Frequently asked questions

The CA-14 Special Election Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for outcomes in California's 14th congressional district special election. It displays the current probability of each candidate winning, historical price movements, and $90,035 in trading volume over the last 24 hours. The dashboard aggregates all active outcome contracts on Polymarket, allowing traders and observers to monitor shifting market sentiment as new information emerges throughout the campaign cycle leading up to the election.

The CA-14 Special Election Winner market is scheduled to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official election results announced by California election authorities for the 14th congressional district special election. The market will settle based on which candidate receives the most votes and is declared the winner by state officials. Traders should monitor official election timelines and any potential recounts or legal challenges that could affect the final outcome determination.

Several catalysts could shift odds in the CA-14 market before Aug 18, 2026. Major campaign events such as debate performances, significant endorsements from party leaders or local figures, and fundraising announcements often trigger price movements. Media coverage of candidate gaffes or controversies, shifts in voter registration data, and demographic changes in the district can also influence trader sentiment. Late-breaking polling releases, candidate withdrawals, and turnout-related news closer to election day typically generate the largest market reactions as traders reassess winning probabilities.