TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Burger King's customer traffic in U.S. restaurants for August 2026, comparing it to the same month in the previous year. The data reflects changes in the number of visits to Burger King locations, adjusted for seasonal patterns, weather conditions, and holidays. The outcome depends on whether the measured traffic exceeds specific thresholds, indicating growth or decline relative to the prior year.
All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Burger King Monthly Foot Traffic index for August 2026. The index measures year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with 100 representing equal traffic to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. Each market has a unique threshold (ranging from 93 to 103), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index exceeds its respective threshold. The determination is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, and any corrections or revisions made after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price of this market through a continuous double-auction system, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that match based on price and quantity. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of market participants, with the probability indicated by the market price. Trading volume of $2,975 shows the total interest, while the 24-hour volume of $43 captures recent activity. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges about Burger King’s performance metrics.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will reflect official foot traffic counts for August, closing the market and settling all positions based on the actual performance data.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 14, 2026. Key catalysts include official sales reports from Burger King, broader fast-food industry trends, economic indicators affecting consumer spending, and any significant news about store openings or closures. Unexpected events such as supply chain disruptions, public health advisories, or shifts in consumer behavior due to seasonal factors may also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, competing fast-food chains announcing promotions or changes could alter the competitive landscape, prompting reassessments of foot traffic projections for Burger King.