TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC vs Gold: higher weekly % gain?
limitless

BTC vs Gold: higher weekly % gain?

Volume:
$253

BTC vs Gold: higher weekly % gain?

 - Limitless

BTC vs Gold: higher weekly % gain? - Limitless

1W

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Vol.

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Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 7:00 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

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Chance %
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Liquidity
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24h
7d
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limitless

BTC vs Gold: higher weekly % gain?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market compares the price changes of Bitcoin and gold. This market will resolve to “YES” if the “Open” price of the TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3ABTCUSD%2FPYTH%3AXAUUSD) 1-day candle for BTC/XAU is strictly greater than 15.230342 on July 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “NO”. Resolution will occur during July 13, 2026 UTC. If, for any reason, the required 1-day “Open” price at the specified time cannot be retrieved from the website, the market will resolve based on the “Close” price of the most recent prior 1-day candle available on the site. For the purposes of resolution, all values will be rounded to six decimal places using standard rounding rules. If the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the scheduled resolution time, the market will resolve to “NO”, regardless of the reason.

Limitless

This market compares the price changes of Bitcoin and gold. This market will resolve to “YES” if the “Open” price of the TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3ABTCUSD%2FPYTH%3AXAUUSD) 1-day candle for BTC/XAU is strictly greater than 15.230342 on July 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “NO”. Resolution will occur during July 13, 2026 UTC. If, for any reason, the required 1-day “Open” price at the specified time cannot be retrieved from the website, the market will resolve based on the “Close” price of the most recent prior 1-day candle available on the site. For the purposes of resolution, all values will be rounded to six decimal places using standard rounding rules. If the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the scheduled resolution time, the market will resolve to “NO”, regardless of the reason.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin vs Gold weekly gains market on Limitless tracks real-time odds on which asset will post a higher percentage gain over a given week. The dashboard displays the current probability for each outcome, historical price movements, and trading volume to help you monitor how traders are positioning ahead of the weekly close. This market captures sentiment around near-term momentum in crypto versus traditional safe-haven assets, making it useful for comparing short-term performance expectations between the two.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, which often diverges from spot price alone. While spot prices show current valuations, this market aggregates forward-looking bets on weekly percentage gains. Traders factor in volatility expectations, macroeconomic catalysts, and sentiment when pricing outcomes. The odds here can signal whether the crowd expects Bitcoin or gold to outperform over the coming week—a view that may differ from what historical price action or analyst forecasts suggest.

On Limitless, traders set the odds for each outcome through continuous order matching. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each side reflects the balance of buy and sell interest, with real-time updates as new trades execute. Higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction that Bitcoin or gold will achieve the higher weekly gain. Liquidity and trading volume on the platform directly influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.

This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning side is determined by comparing the weekly percentage gains of Bitcoin and gold at the close of the resolution week. Whichever asset posts the higher percentage return over that period settles the market accordingly. Traders should monitor both assets closely as the end date approaches to track which is positioned to deliver the larger weekly move.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and geopolitical developments that typically drive gold higher as a hedge. Bitcoin tends to react sharply to regulatory news, institutional adoption milestones, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts. Earnings reports from major tech firms, currency movements, and real-rate expectations can also sway the relative performance of each asset. Traders watch these signals closely to adjust positions, so any surprise in economic data or central bank communications could shift odds significantly before the weekly close.