TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price range on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price range on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$210,410

$79,500 to 79,999.99

 - Kalshi

$79,500 to 79,999.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$79,500 to 79,999.99

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,154
N/A
N/A
$38,357
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,000 to 80,499.99

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,562
N/A
N/A
$11,188
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,000 to 79,499.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,441
N/A
N/A
$11,125
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,500 to 78,999.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,818
N/A
N/A
$11,363
Settled
No
kalshi

$77,000 to 77,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,013
N/A
N/A
$8,227
Settled
No
kalshi

$81,000 to 81,499.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,836
N/A
N/A
$6,732
Settled
No
kalshi

$76,500 to 76,999.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,416
N/A
N/A
$5,201
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,500 to 80,999.99

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,383
N/A
N/A
$5,245
Settled
No
kalshi

$72,000 to 72,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,351
N/A
N/A
$9,351
Settled
No
kalshi

$77,500 to 77,999.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,218
N/A
N/A
$4,249
Settled
No
kalshi

$76,000 to 76,499.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,628
N/A
N/A
$2,076
Settled
No
kalshi

$81,500 to 81,999.99

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,280
N/A
N/A
$5,560
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,000 to 78,499.99

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,903
N/A
N/A
$2,383
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,500 to 86,999.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,591
N/A
N/A
$1,371
Settled
No
kalshi

$82,000 to 82,499.99

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,072
N/A
N/A
$959
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,000 to 84,499.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,060
N/A
N/A
$1,060
Settled
No
kalshi

$66,999.99 or below

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$1,030
Settled
No
kalshi

$82,500 to 82,999.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
$1,005
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,000 to 86,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$880
N/A
N/A
$647
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,000 to 85,499.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$694
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
No
kalshi

$70,000 to 70,499.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
kalshi

$91,000 or above

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$594
Settled
No
kalshi

$70,500 to 70,999.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
$488
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,000 to 83,499.99

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
$197
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,500 to 84,999.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event determines the price range of Bitcoin on a specific date and time by analyzing real-time market data. The outcome is based on the average price during the final minute before the specified expiration time, ensuring an objective and standardized measurement.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the official result depends on which range this average falls into. The average is calculated from 60 data points collected during the last minute before expiration, ensuring precision. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the final value determined exclusively by CF Benchmarks' BRTI, regardless of other potential price sources. The secondary rules clarify that while external sources may offer guidance, the BRTI is the sole authority for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the BTC price range market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the probability of Bitcoin’s price falling within specific bounds at the exact moment of September 4, 2026, at 5pm EDT. It also displays current trading volume of $210,410 and 24-hour volume of $126,509, letting users monitor market activity and sentiment leading up to the resolution date.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At exactly 5pm EDT on that date, the closing spot price of Bitcoin will be recorded from reliable, widely accepted sources, and the contract pays out to the range that contains that price. No further trading occurs after the market closes.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major cryptocurrency exchange updates, regulatory announcements affecting Bitcoin, or widespread macroeconomic shifts like central bank policies and inflation data often cause rapid re-pricing. Additionally, high-profile tech developments — such as major upgrades to Bitcoin’s protocol or large institutional adoption — can dramatically alter trader sentiment and volume in the months leading up to Sep 4, 2026.