TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$222,242

$77,000 to 77,499.99

 - Kalshi

$77,000 to 77,499.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$77,000 to 77,499.99

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,341
N/A
N/A
$27,710
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,500 to 77,999.99

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,375
N/A
N/A
$13,493
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,000 to 78,499.99

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,743
N/A
N/A
$16,217
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,500 to 79,999.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,954
N/A
N/A
$5,731
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,000 to 80,499.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,971
N/A
N/A
$10,244
Settled
No
kalshi

$76,500 to 76,999.99

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,279
N/A
N/A
$4,640
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,000 to 79,499.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,663
N/A
N/A
$4,872
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,500 to 78,999.99

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,500
N/A
N/A
$5,429
Settled
No
kalshi

$81,000 to 81,499.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,258
N/A
N/A
$7,612
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,500 to 80,999.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,941
N/A
N/A
$2,690
Settled
No
kalshi

$76,000 to 76,499.99

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,890
N/A
N/A
$2,422
Settled
No
kalshi

$75,500 to 75,999.99

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,859
N/A
N/A
$1,563
Settled
No
kalshi

$75,000 to 75,499.99

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,697
N/A
N/A
$3,061
Settled
No
kalshi

$74,500 to 74,999.99

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,747
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,000 to 83,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,319
N/A
N/A
$2,018
Settled
No
kalshi

$74,000 to 74,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,884
N/A
N/A
$1,332
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,500 to 83,999.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,500 to 84,999.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
kalshi

$81,500 to 81,999.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
$462
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,000 to 84,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
$541
Settled
No
kalshi

$71,000 to 71,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
$491
Settled
No
kalshi

$72,000 to 72,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

$70,500 to 70,999.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398
N/A
N/A
$398
Settled
No
kalshi

$68,999.99 or below

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
$348
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,000 to 85,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$287
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks Bitcoin's price at a specific future moment, using a standardized index to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on where the price falls within predefined ranges at the exact time and date specified.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market resolving to 'Yes' is the one where the calculated average falls within its defined bounds. If the average is below $69,000, the first market resolves to 'Yes'. If it is above $92,999.99, the final market resolves to 'Yes'. For all other cases, the market corresponding to the exact price range containing the average resolves to 'Yes', with the secondary clarification that while public sources like Google or Coinbase may be used for reference, the official price is determined exclusively by CF Benchmarks' BRTI, calculated from the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin price market tracks the current implied probabilities for various price ranges of Bitcoin on September 11, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, reflecting what traders believe is most likely to happen. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded in this market, currently at $222,242, and the 24-hour volume, which is $128,456. This information provides a snapshot of market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price of Bitcoin.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect the immediate value of Bitcoin, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding its value at a specific point in the future. Often, prediction markets can provide an early signal of shifts in sentiment that aren’t yet reflected in spot prices, as traders factor in potential events and news. This difference can be valuable for those seeking a forward-looking assessment of Bitcoin’s potential trajectory.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different Bitcoin price ranges, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular price range is likely, the contracts for that range become more expensive, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd and provides a real-time estimate of the probability of each outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, at 5:05 PM EDT. The outcome will be determined by the price of Bitcoin at that specific time, verified against credible public reporting. The market will pay out to the contracts corresponding to the price range that Bitcoin falls within at the resolution time. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The final price will be sourced from publicly available data feeds.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, would likely have a substantial impact. Large-scale adoption by institutions or corporations, or conversely, negative news regarding the security or scalability of the Bitcoin network, could also drive price fluctuations. Macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, and geopolitical events could also influence investor sentiment and, therefore, the price of Bitcoin and this market. Unexpected technological advancements or setbacks in the broader crypto space are also potential catalysts.