TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Cryptocurrency price measurement for Bitcoin on a specific date, organized into price ranges or brackets covering a full spectrum of values.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' consensus on Bitcoin's price range 18 months forward, incorporating macroeconomic forecasts, regulatory developments, and on-chain metrics. These odds often diverge from simple spot price extrapolation because markets price in volatility, tail risks, and long-term adoption trends. Comparing Kalshi odds to analyst price targets and institutional surveys can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than mainstream financial forecasts for mid-2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this Bitcoin price range event is priced through a binary or multi-outcome contract structure where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price bracket. The current odds reflect the implied probability of Bitcoin settling within each range at the June 7, 2026 5pm EDT snapshot. Kalshi's order book aggregates all trader positions, and the mid-market price of each outcome represents the crowd's real-time belief about that bracket's likelihood.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflation data, and institutional Bitcoin adoption announcements. Regulatory clarity or restrictions in key markets like the US and EU could significantly alter long-term price expectations. Macroeconomic recessions, geopolitical tensions, and breakthroughs in Bitcoin layer-2 scaling or energy efficiency may also drive odds. Additionally, spot or futures ETF flows, corporate treasury allocations, and central bank digital currency developments could reshape trader conviction about Bitcoin's 2026 valuation.