TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price range on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price range on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$480,175

$62,500 to 62,999.99

 - Kalshi

$62,500 to 62,999.99 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$62,500 to 62,999.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$87,418
N/A
N/A
$42,851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,000 to 63,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,007
N/A
N/A
$25,940
Settled
No
kalshi

$64,000 to 64,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77,828
N/A
N/A
$44,577
Settled
No
kalshi

$63,500 to 63,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,156
N/A
N/A
$47,831
Settled
No
kalshi

$64,500 to 64,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54,266
N/A
N/A
$20,424
Settled
No
kalshi

$62,000 to 62,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,821
N/A
N/A
$15,151
Settled
No
kalshi

$65,000 to 65,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,626
N/A
N/A
$8,107
Settled
No
kalshi

$65,500 to 65,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,453
N/A
N/A
$5,478
Settled
No
kalshi

$66,000 to 66,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,926
N/A
N/A
$4,394
Settled
No
kalshi

$61,500 to 61,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,530
N/A
N/A
$3,523
Settled
No
kalshi

$66,500 to 66,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,480
N/A
N/A
$4,336
Settled
No
kalshi

$52,999.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,806
N/A
N/A
$4,806
Settled
No
kalshi

$61,000 to 61,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
$834
Settled
No
kalshi

$67,000 to 67,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,688
N/A
N/A
$1,303
Settled
No
kalshi

$53,000 to 53,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,135
N/A
N/A
$1,135
Settled
No
kalshi

$69,500 to 69,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,089
N/A
N/A
$1,089
Settled
No
kalshi

$75,500 to 75,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,081
N/A
N/A
$1,081
Settled
No
kalshi

$60,500 to 60,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
No
kalshi

$60,000 to 60,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
No
kalshi

$69,000 to 69,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
kalshi

$68,500 to 68,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
$242
Settled
No
kalshi

$67,500 to 67,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
kalshi

$75,000 to 75,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
No
kalshi

$59,500 to 59,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
No
kalshi

$68,000 to 68,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks Bitcoin's price at a specific moment, using a standardized index to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on where the price falls within predefined ranges at the exact closing time, ensuring consistency despite market fluctuations.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the official price is determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration. If the average falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same resolution process and data source, ensuring uniformity across outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the BTC price range market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $288,788. It shows how traders on Kalshi expect Bitcoin's price to fall within a specific range by the end date. The top outcome and chance percentage give a snapshot of market sentiment, while the volume reflects overall interest and liquidity in this market.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the odds through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each possible price range. The platform’s pricing mechanism reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting continuously as new information emerges. Market depth and recent trading activity also influence how prices evolve, making the odds a dynamic indicator of collective expectation.

This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the closing Bitcoin price will be checked against the defined ranges, and the market will settle accordingly. The process relies on widely accepted data sources to ensure transparency and fairness, aligning with standard practice for similar crypto price markets.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major economic announcements, including interest rate decisions or inflation data, often impact Bitcoin’s broader market valuation. Regulatory developments — such as new guidelines from leading financial authorities — can also cause rapid re-pricing. Additionally, technological upgrades to Bitcoin’s network or large institutional inflows may influence trader sentiment and adjust the odds in either direction.