TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price range on Jul 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price range on Jul 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$353,876

$62,500 to 62,999.99

 - Kalshi

$62,500 to 62,999.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$62,500 to 62,999.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,220
N/A
N/A
$15,479
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,000 to 62,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,577
N/A
N/A
$18,110
Settled
No
kalshi

$59,000 to 59,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,055
N/A
N/A
$12,719
Settled
No
kalshi

$59,500 to 59,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,882
N/A
N/A
$14,526
Settled
No
kalshi

$61,500 to 61,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,778
N/A
N/A
$12,530
Settled
No
kalshi

$61,000 to 61,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,702
N/A
N/A
$13,314
Settled
No
kalshi

$60,000 to 60,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,802
N/A
N/A
$14,224
Settled
No
kalshi

$60,500 to 60,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,606
N/A
N/A
$8,234
Settled
No
kalshi

$58,500 to 58,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,283
N/A
N/A
$4,714
Settled
No
kalshi

$63,000 to 63,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,013
N/A
N/A
$11,235
Settled
No
kalshi

$58,000 to 58,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,696
N/A
N/A
$4,627
Settled
No
kalshi

$57,500 to 57,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,130
N/A
N/A
$2,293
Settled
No
kalshi

$63,500 to 63,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,957
N/A
N/A
$2,863
Settled
No
kalshi

$65,000 to 65,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,885
N/A
N/A
$2,802
Settled
No
kalshi

$48,000 to 48,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,616
N/A
N/A
$2,616
Settled
No
kalshi

$47,999.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,526
N/A
N/A
$1,374
Settled
No
kalshi

$65,500 to 65,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,352
N/A
N/A
$1,311
Settled
No
kalshi

$66,000 to 66,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
$919
Settled
No
kalshi

$64,500 to 64,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,282
N/A
N/A
$1,067
Settled
No
kalshi

$57,000 to 57,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,234
N/A
N/A
$1,026
Settled
No
kalshi

$64,000 to 64,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,215
N/A
N/A
$881
Settled
No
kalshi

$56,500 to 56,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
$934
Settled
No
kalshi

$67,500 to 67,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
$862
Settled
No
kalshi

$50,000 to 50,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
$581
Settled
No
kalshi

$66,500 to 66,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$689
N/A
N/A
$622
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event divides Bitcoin's price on July 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges, from below $48,000 up to $72,000 and above. Each outcome represents a distinct price band, and the market resolves to the outcome matching where the price falls within these ranges.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) measured before 5 PM EDT on July 3, 2026. The price is categorized into consecutive price bands, with each outcome covering a specific range. At the final minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to determine the official value. The market resolves to the outcome corresponding to the price band containing the measured average. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Bitcoin price range market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for where BTC will trade at a specific moment in July 2026. Traders use this interface to view current probabilities assigned to each price bracket, monitor 24-hour trading volume, and track how sentiment has shifted since the market opened. The dashboard aggregates all buy and sell activity on this single venue, giving you a live snapshot of the collective forecast for Bitcoin's value at the designated settlement time.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on each outcome, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst consensus. While the Bitcoin spot price today represents only the present moment, this market embeds forward-looking expectations about volatility, macroeconomic shifts, and adoption trends over the next 18 months. Comparing the implied probabilities here to traditional price forecasts from analysts or on-chain metrics can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside risk relative to conventional wisdom.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each price range bracket. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each bracket's odds reflect the supply and demand balance at that moment, so wider brackets typically trade at higher probability than narrow ones. As new information emerges—regulatory news, macroeconomic data, or Bitcoin network developments—traders adjust their positions, shifting the price of each outcome in real time.

This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, when the specified time window closes. The outcome is determined by verifying Bitcoin's price at that exact moment against credible public sources, such as major exchange data or widely-recognized price indices. Once the settlement price is confirmed, the bracket containing that price is marked correct, and all positions are settled accordingly.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation reports, and geopolitical developments that affect risk appetite for volatile assets. Bitcoin-specific events—such as regulatory announcements, institutional adoption milestones, or network upgrades—can shift trader positioning significantly. Macro sentiment around recession risk, currency debasement, and alternative investment flows will also influence how traders price each bracket. Technical levels and on-chain metrics may trigger momentum trades as the resolution date approaches.