TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
BTC price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$418,504

$63,500 to 63,999.99

 - Kalshi

$63,500 to 63,999.99 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$63,500 to 63,999.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$109,125
N/A
N/A
$37,349
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,000 to 64,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$122,532
N/A
N/A
$38,253
Settled
No
kalshi

$63,000 to 63,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,345
N/A
N/A
$24,877
Settled
No
kalshi

$62,000 to 62,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,464
N/A
N/A
$8,796
Settled
No
kalshi

$62,500 to 62,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,981
N/A
N/A
$10,545
Settled
No
kalshi

$61,500 to 61,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,958
N/A
N/A
$6,658
Settled
No
kalshi

$64,500 to 64,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,960
N/A
N/A
$7,096
Settled
No
kalshi

$65,500 to 65,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,449
N/A
N/A
$5,285
Settled
No
kalshi

$65,000 to 65,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,275
N/A
N/A
$2,030
Settled
No
kalshi

$61,000 to 61,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,677
N/A
N/A
$1,735
Settled
No
kalshi

$60,500 to 60,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,749
N/A
N/A
$1,457
Settled
No
kalshi

$58,500 to 58,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$615
Settled
No
kalshi

$72,000 to 72,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$930
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
No
kalshi

$71,500 to 71,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
No
kalshi

$58,000 to 58,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$882
N/A
N/A
$829
Settled
No
kalshi

$66,500 to 66,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$875
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
No
kalshi

$72,500 to 72,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
$843
Settled
No
kalshi

$60,000 to 60,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
$834
Settled
No
kalshi

$73,000 to 73,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
$827
Settled
No
kalshi

$57,000 to 57,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
$707
Settled
No
kalshi

$49,499.99 or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$610
N/A
N/A
$609
Settled
No
kalshi

$71,000 to 71,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$594
Settled
No
kalshi

$68,500 to 68,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$538
N/A
N/A
$396
Settled
No
kalshi

$55,000 to 55,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

$70,000 to 70,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event divides Bitcoin's price into specific ranges on July 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Each outcome represents a distinct price band, from below $49,500 up to $73,500 and above. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), calculated as a 60-second average of 60 individual RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) prices collected before 5 PM EDT on July 10, 2026. The market resolves to exactly one outcome corresponding to the price range in which the average falls. The ranges are: below $49,500, $49,500–$49,999.99, $50,000–$50,499.99, continuing in $500 increments through $73,000–$73,499.99, and $73,500 or above. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source for this market, and traders should note that prices from other sources like Google or Coinbase may differ from the official RTI used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Bitcoin price range market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for where BTC will trade at a specific moment in July 2026. The display shows current implied probabilities for each price bracket, 24-hour trading volume, and order book depth to help traders assess conviction across different outcome ranges. This dashboard lets you monitor how market participants are positioning ahead of the settlement date, giving you a snapshot of collective expectations for Bitcoin's value at that precise time.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on specific Bitcoin price ranges, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Bitcoin in real time based on supply and demand, this market aggregates forward-looking bets on where the asset will settle months ahead. Comparing the implied probabilities here to consensus analyst price targets or long-term technical forecasts can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral sentiment relative to conventional expectations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each Bitcoin price range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out if the outcome occurs at settlement, and the current bid-ask spread reflects the market's uncertainty around which range will be correct. Prices move as new information arrives and traders adjust their positions, so monitoring the order book and recent trades helps you gauge real-time conviction in each outcome.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Bitcoin's price at that moment is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning range is determined by where BTC is trading when the clock strikes the specified time, and all shares in the correct bracket pay out in full. Until that moment arrives, prices will fluctuate as traders reassess probabilities based on on-chain activity, macroeconomic news, and other signals.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic policy shifts, institutional adoption milestones, and technical developments in the Bitcoin ecosystem. Geopolitical events, central bank decisions, and shifts in risk appetite can also drive significant repricing. Additionally, on-chain metrics such as exchange inflows, whale accumulation, and network activity may influence trader sentiment. Closer to the resolution date, any breaking news about market structure or custody solutions could trigger sharp moves as traders lock in final positions.