TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Bitcoin's price performance on a specific date and time, using a trusted benchmark index to determine the outcome. Investors and analysts often monitor such price thresholds to gauge market sentiment and make informed decisions about entry or exit points in the cryptocurrency market.
The event evaluates Bitcoin’s price at 5 PM EDT on August 14, 2026, using the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before that time. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, resolving to 'Yes' if the average falls within its defined band. For instance, markets resolve to 'Yes' if the average is below $52,499.99, between $52,500 and $76,499.99 in specified increments, or above $76,499.99. The official price is derived from averaging 60 BRTI readings in the final minute before expiration, ensuring accuracy and consistency despite variations across other data sources. All markets share this resolution methodology, with outcomes determined solely by where the calculated average falls relative to the stated ranges.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 14, 2026. Major macroeconomic announcements, regulatory updates affecting crypto exchanges, or unexpected technological developments around Bitcoin mining or adoption could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, large institutional trades or shifts in market-wide fear-and-greed metrics often cause short-term volatility, potentially moving the odds toward different price bands as the resolution date approaches.