TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will resolve based on the Bitcoin price at a specific future timestamp, using a standardized index for accuracy. Each market has a different price threshold, and the outcome depends on whether the average price meets or exceeds that threshold at the exact moment of evaluation.
All markets in this set share the same core resolution mechanism but differ only in their respective price thresholds. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if, by 5 PM EDT on September 7, 2026, the simple average of the sixty-second readings from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in the minute before 5 PM EDT exceeds the market-specific threshold. The official price is determined exclusively by averaging the BRTI values collected during that final minute, ensuring consistency across all markets regardless of external price sources. Thresholds range incrementally from $69,500 to $89,250, with each market independently evaluating whether its unique threshold is surpassed. The secondary rules clarify that while public sources like Google or Coinbase may be used for reference, they do not affect the official outcome, which relies solely on CF Benchmarks' data collection and averaging process.