TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
BTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$5,936,685

$79,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$79,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$79,500 or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$623,415
N/A
N/A
$198,751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,000 or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$417,287
N/A
N/A
$92,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78,500 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$251,754
N/A
N/A
$72,281
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78,000 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$224,874
N/A
N/A
$61,845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,500 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$174,569
N/A
N/A
$47,628
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,000 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$149,143
N/A
N/A
$41,572
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$107,405
N/A
N/A
$27,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$93,149
N/A
N/A
$24,072
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$78,651
N/A
N/A
$44,775
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,565
N/A
N/A
$14,396
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,418
N/A
N/A
$20,867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$54,107
N/A
N/A
$26,075
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,653
N/A
N/A
$50,926
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,302
N/A
N/A
$16,884
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69,500 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,975
N/A
N/A
$42,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,550
N/A
N/A
$21,336
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,364
N/A
N/A
$31,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,500 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,827
N/A
N/A
$30,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,560
N/A
N/A
$26,560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,321
N/A
N/A
$21,671
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,227
N/A
N/A
$10,722
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,065
N/A
N/A
$11,168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,726
N/A
N/A
$6,970
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,500 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,549
N/A
N/A
$8,323
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,620
N/A
N/A
$5,620
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the simple average of sixty seconds of the CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) will be above $71499.99 at 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). Traders should closely watch the price of Bitcoin leading up to September 4, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the index value at 5 PM EDT on that date.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution methodology centered on the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) published by CF Benchmarks. For each market, resolution depends on whether the simple average of the sixty-second readings of the BRTI immediately preceding 5:00 PM EDT on September 4, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. The thresholds vary incrementally across markets, each defining a distinct price boundary. At the expiration minute, exactly sixty price data points are sampled from the BRTI, and their arithmetic mean constitutes the official closing value used to evaluate all thresholds simultaneously. This approach ensures consistent valuation across all markets, with each market resolving to "Yes" if its respective threshold is surpassed by the calculated average, and "No" otherwise. The secondary clarification across all rules emphasizes that external price sources may differ, but CF Benchmarks' BRTI is the sole authority for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume of $3,425,728 for the BTC price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of Sep 4, 2026. The page updates continuously to reflect shifts in market sentiment and trading activity specific to this event on Kalshi alone.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates trader sentiment, macroeconomic forecasts, and upcoming events influencing Bitcoin’s value by Sep 4, 2026. The odds here can reveal bullish or bearish sentiment beyond immediate market movements.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders submit bids and asks based on their outlook for Bitcoin’s value at the exact close time. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi, factoring in recent price action, macro trends, and market sentiment unique to this event.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be compared against widely accepted sources to determine whether the contract settles on the specified level or range, closing all positions at that point.

Macroeconomic announcements, major exchange updates, regulatory news, and shifts in cryptocurrency adoption trends could all influence this market. Traders will watch key events such as Federal Reserve policy statements, Bitcoin ETF inflows or outflows, and broad risk-on or risk-off sentiment in financial markets as they position for potential price swings before Sep 4, 2026.