TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$5,778,378

$83,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$83,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$83,500 or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$495,439
N/A
N/A
$173,886
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,000 or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$287,129
N/A
N/A
$65,198
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,000 or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$190,457
N/A
N/A
$61,541
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,500 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$142,185
N/A
N/A
$34,048
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,000 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,513
N/A
N/A
$32,960
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114,451
N/A
N/A
$46,156
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$97,925
N/A
N/A
$41,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,718
N/A
N/A
$23,291
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,741
N/A
N/A
$46,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45,881
N/A
N/A
$27,621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45,531
N/A
N/A
$41,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,750
N/A
N/A
$25,811
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,317
N/A
N/A
$14,534
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,648
N/A
N/A
$24,719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,242
N/A
N/A
$17,775
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,545
N/A
N/A
$16,309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,724
N/A
N/A
$16,892
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,631
N/A
N/A
$10,109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,971
N/A
N/A
$12,328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,941
N/A
N/A
$15,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,644
N/A
N/A
$11,514
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,783
N/A
N/A
$5,149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,789
N/A
N/A
$2,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
$1,690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$628
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market predicts whether the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on September 25, 2026 will be above 65499.99. Currently, the leading outcome – that the price *will* be above this level – has a 99.0% probability on Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the BRTI index as reported by CF Benchmarks. Keep a close watch on Bitcoin’s performance leading up to September 25, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the index value at 5 PM EDT on that date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on September 25, 2026. For each market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $65,499.99 for the $65,500 or above market), it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Price validation uses CF Benchmarks' BRTI as the definitive source, distinct from consumer-facing platforms. The final value is calculated from 60 sequential BRTI price points collected during the last minute before 5 PM EDT, ensuring precision through aggregation. All markets share this unified methodology, differing only in their respective price thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Bitcoin price that may differ from those found in traditional spot price expectations or analyst predictions. This market aggregates the views of many individual traders, potentially offering a more nuanced perspective than single-source forecasts. It’s important to note that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating expectations about future events that influence price, while spot prices reflect current market conditions. Comparing this market to broader sentiment can reveal discrepancies and potential opportunities for informed trading.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different Bitcoin price ranges. The prices of these contracts determine the implied probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market depth and trading volume—currently $5,778,378—influence the bid-ask spread, impacting the cost of entering or exiting a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a liquid and efficient market for forecasting the future Bitcoin price.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome determined by the Bitcoin price at 5:00 PM EDT on September 25, 2026. The price will be verified against credible public reporting of the Bitcoin spot price from a widely recognized exchange. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct price range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on publicly available data.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market before its resolution. Major regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, could cause substantial price swings. Macroeconomic factors like inflation rates, interest rate decisions, and global economic growth also play a role. Technological developments related to the Bitcoin network, such as upgrades or security breaches, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, widespread adoption of Bitcoin by institutions or significant shifts in investor confidence could all move this market considerably between now and Sep 25, 2026.