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BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$5,909,305

$77,000 or above

 - Kalshi

$77,000 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$77,000 or above

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,073,717
N/A
N/A
$283,814
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,000 or above

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$326,249
N/A
N/A
$94,345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,500 or above

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$234,367
N/A
N/A
$73,705
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,000 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$121,497
N/A
N/A
$33,501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,500 or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$92,080
N/A
N/A
$44,060
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,000 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,067
N/A
N/A
$26,967
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,500 or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$68,361
N/A
N/A
$23,864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,000 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,696
N/A
N/A
$31,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,500 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,279
N/A
N/A
$22,646
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,977
N/A
N/A
$14,406
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,553
N/A
N/A
$12,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,500 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,234
N/A
N/A
$2,234
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,221
N/A
N/A
$2,221
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,189
N/A
N/A
$2,189
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,500 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,646
N/A
N/A
$1,406
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$860
N/A
N/A
$860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,000 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$625
N/A
N/A
$625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,500 or above

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043,322
N/A
N/A
$241,656
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,000 or above

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$732,332
N/A
N/A
$215,183
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,500 or above

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$420,014
N/A
N/A
$105,080
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,000 or above

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$381,361
N/A
N/A
$85,539
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,000 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$289,564
N/A
N/A
$63,507
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,500 or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174,612
N/A
N/A
$46,106
Settled
No
kalshi

$82,000 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174,029
N/A
N/A
$45,286
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) will be above $80,499.99 at 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). Traders should closely watch the price of Bitcoin leading up to September 11, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the BRTI average at 5 PM EDT on that date.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution methodology centered on the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) published by CF Benchmarks. For each market, the resolution depends on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of BRTI prices immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. The exact threshold varies per market, incrementing in $500 or $1,000 steps from $68,500 up to $93,000. Price data from sources like Google or Coinbase may differ, and participants should rely solely on the CF Benchmarks BRTI for resolution. At the final minute before expiration, precisely sixty BRTI prices are recorded, and their average constitutes the official and binding value for all markets. This consistent approach ensures uniform evaluation across all thresholds, with each market independently resolving to 'Yes' or 'No' based on its unique price requirement.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for Bitcoin on September 11, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the total volume traded—currently $5,909,305—and the 24-hour volume, which is $3,817,332. The dashboard also displays the most likely outcome according to traders on Kalshi, allowing you to quickly assess market sentiment regarding the future price of Bitcoin. This provides a real-time view of how predictions are evolving.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market conditions, this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders about the price of Bitcoin nearly two years in the future. Often, these predictions can differ significantly from analyst forecasts or polls of general investors, as they represent a weighted consensus of those willing to put capital behind their beliefs. This can provide valuable insights into potential future price movements beyond short-term speculation.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for Bitcoin. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the market price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus view. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different Bitcoin price scenarios.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the price of one Bitcoin, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data provider, at 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on September 11, 2026. The contract corresponding to the price range containing the actual Bitcoin price at that time will pay out to its holders, while all other contracts will expire worthless.

Numerous factors could significantly impact this market between now and its resolution. Major regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrency, such as new legislation or enforcement actions, could trigger substantial price swings. Macroeconomic events, like shifts in interest rates or inflation, could also influence investor sentiment towards Bitcoin. Furthermore, technological advancements related to Bitcoin, including improvements to scalability or security, or even major security breaches, could all move this market. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in global economic conditions could also play a role.