TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price on May 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on May 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$1,822,677

$73,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$73,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$73,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$569,654
N/A
N/A
$187,678
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$146,406
N/A
N/A
$67,073
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$79,557
N/A
N/A
$54,163
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,584
N/A
N/A
$19,154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,340
N/A
N/A
$16,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,912
N/A
N/A
$8,175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,090
N/A
N/A
$10,090
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,211
N/A
N/A
$6,862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,542
N/A
N/A
$6,388
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,050
N/A
N/A
$5,050
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,384
N/A
N/A
$3,384
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,099
N/A
N/A
$1,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$848
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$444
N/A
N/A
$444
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$347
N/A
N/A
$347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,750 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$423,725
N/A
N/A
$185,900
Settled
No
kalshi

$74,000 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$230,302
N/A
N/A
$112,180
Settled
No
kalshi

$74,250 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102,384
N/A
N/A
$45,583
Settled
No
kalshi

$74,500 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,851
N/A
N/A
$32,734
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $66,499.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 31, 2026, based on the sixty-second average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.5%. Resolution will be determined by the simple average of BRTI readings in the minute preceding 5 PM EDT on the specified date. Watch Bitcoin's price action and macroeconomic conditions leading up to May 31, 2026, as these will be critical in determining whether the asset settles above the threshold.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective long-term view of Bitcoin's price at the specified time, which often diverges from current spot prices and short-term analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and volatility, prediction markets embed expectations about macroeconomic conditions, regulatory shifts, and adoption trends over the next 18+ months. Comparing Kalshi odds to consensus analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to mainstream expectations.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026, at which point the final Bitcoin price at 5pm EDT on May 31, 2026 is recorded and compared against the contract terms. Resolution depends on capturing the official price at that exact moment, ensuring all traders have a clear, verifiable outcome. Until that date, positions remain open and can be traded, allowing participants to adjust their exposure as new information about Bitcoin's trajectory becomes available.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements from the SEC, Federal Reserve policy shifts, institutional adoption milestones, and macroeconomic cycles. Geopolitical tensions, central bank digital currency developments, and Bitcoin halving events can also reshape long-term price expectations. Technical breakthroughs in Layer 2 scaling or security, changes in corporate treasury allocations, and shifts in global monetary policy all influence where traders expect Bitcoin to trade in mid-2026. Monitoring these factors helps explain why odds on Kalshi fluctuate over time.