TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price on Jun 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Jun 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$3,691,832

$66,250 or above

 - Kalshi

$66,250 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$66,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$290,058
N/A
N/A
$110,677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$220,653
N/A
N/A
$47,087
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$198,100
N/A
N/A
$34,577
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$164,197
N/A
N/A
$48,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$81,474
N/A
N/A
$34,402
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,868
N/A
N/A
$15,459
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59,203
N/A
N/A
$21,901
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,824
N/A
N/A
$14,547
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,837
N/A
N/A
$12,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,441
N/A
N/A
$16,055
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,806
N/A
N/A
$8,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,384
N/A
N/A
$14,203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,718
N/A
N/A
$13,011
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,594
N/A
N/A
$9,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,604
N/A
N/A
$7,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,695
N/A
N/A
$7,428
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,704
N/A
N/A
$2,281
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,354
N/A
N/A
$2,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,168
N/A
N/A
$1,041
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
$1,557
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
$1,219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
$1,123
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
$264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 80

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above specific price thresholds on June 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT, with outcomes ranging from $54,000 to $74,000 or higher in $250 increments. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Bitcoin trading above $53,999.99—carries a probability of 99.5%. Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) sampled immediately before 5pm EDT on the settlement date. Watch the Bitcoin market closely as June 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT approaches, when the BRTI snapshot will be taken to settle all outcomes.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) collected before 5 PM EDT on June 15, 2026. Each outcome represents a price threshold, with resolution to Yes if the average price exceeds that threshold. Thresholds range from $54,000 to above $73,750 in $250 increments. The official price is determined using CF Benchmarks' RTI rather than other sources. At the last minute before expiration, exactly 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to produce the final resolution value.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price prediction market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for where BTC will trade at a specific moment in mid-2026. The interface displays current market sentiment through live odds, recent trading activity, and volume of $3,691,832 across all positions. You can monitor 24-hour volume of $3,481,208 to gauge trader interest and liquidity. This snapshot helps traders assess conviction levels and identify shifts in market expectations as the resolution date approaches.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and technical factors, this market aggregates longer-term conviction about Bitcoin's value at a fixed future date. Comparing the implied price from market odds to consensus analyst estimates or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to mainstream expectations. This divergence often signals where informed traders see edge.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different Bitcoin price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects a discrete outcome, and the market price of each outcome updates in real time based on supply and demand. Traders profit by correctly predicting which price band Bitcoin will occupy at the specified moment, with payouts determined by the final settlement price verified against credible public sources.

This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's verified price at that exact moment. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed through credible public reporting, the market settles and winning positions are paid out automatically. Traders should monitor the approach to this date closely, as price volatility in the final hours can shift odds significantly and create last-minute trading opportunities.

Major catalysts that could shift this market include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic policy shifts, institutional adoption milestones, and Bitcoin network developments. Geopolitical events, central bank actions, and traditional market volatility often correlate with crypto price swings. Technical breakthroughs or security incidents could also trigger sharp repricing. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, derivatives positioning, and macro sentiment as leading indicators of where Bitcoin may trade by mid-2026.