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BTC price on Jul 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Jul 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$4,185,568

$63,750 or above

 - Kalshi

$63,750 or above - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$63,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,161,578
N/A
N/A
$224,815
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$589,905
N/A
N/A
$199,303
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$301,801
N/A
N/A
$141,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$262,675
N/A
N/A
$73,257
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$156,715
N/A
N/A
$33,606
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,920
N/A
N/A
$34,327
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$135,731
N/A
N/A
$21,209
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89,807
N/A
N/A
$15,612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89,594
N/A
N/A
$19,851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$79,149
N/A
N/A
$21,402
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,755
N/A
N/A
$11,803
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,891
N/A
N/A
$16,174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,451
N/A
N/A
$14,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,108
N/A
N/A
$7,814
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,865
N/A
N/A
$7,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,805
N/A
N/A
$5,479
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,228
N/A
N/A
$4,968
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,600
N/A
N/A
$2,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,317
N/A
N/A
$2,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,145
N/A
N/A
$1,828
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,721
N/A
N/A
$1,478
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,337
N/A
N/A
$1,337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,155
N/A
N/A
$1,155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$891
N/A
N/A
$810
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 80

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will reach or exceed $53,000 at a specific moment on July 6, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.5%. Resolution is determined by the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index before 5 PM EDT on that date. Watch the price action as July 6, 2026 at 5 PM EDT approaches, the exact moment when the market settles based on the BRTI snapshot.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) measured immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 6, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with Yes outcomes triggered when the average price exceeds the threshold value (e.g., above 52499.99 for the $52,500 outcome, above 52749.99 for the $52,750 outcome, continuing through $72,250). The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI rather than other cryptocurrency data providers. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to determine the final resolution value.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price prediction market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for where BTC will trade at a specific moment in July 2026. Traders use this interface to monitor cumulative volume of $4,185,568 across all positions, view 24-hour activity, and observe how the market reprices as new information emerges. The dashboard displays the current implied probability of each outcome range, helping participants gauge consensus expectations for Bitcoin's value at that precise timestamp.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, whereas spot price expectations capture current market sentiment in real-time trading. This market aggregates the views of many participants making directional bets on Bitcoin's future price, which can diverge from what spot exchanges show today. Comparing the implied odds here to analyst forecasts and historical volatility patterns helps traders assess whether the market is pricing in tail risks or consensus moves that may not yet be reflected in today's spot price.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different Bitcoin price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out if the outcome occurs at settlement, and the bid-ask spread reflects the market's uncertainty around the exact price level. Liquidity and trading volume drive how tightly prices cluster, with deeper order books enabling tighter spreads and more efficient price discovery as the event date approaches.

This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting Bitcoin's price at that specific moment. The winning outcome is determined by where BTC actually traded at the designated timestamp, verified through established financial data providers. Once the event occurs and the price is verifiable, the market settles and shares corresponding to the correct outcome pay out in full.

Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in interest rates or inflation expectations, and significant developments in Bitcoin adoption by institutions or governments. Technical breakthroughs, security incidents, or shifts in mining economics can also influence long-term price trajectories. Geopolitical events, central bank policy changes, and competing asset performance all shape trader conviction about where Bitcoin will settle in mid-2026, causing odds to shift as new information arrives.