TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will determine whether Bitcoin's price exceeds various thresholds at a specific future moment. The resolution depends on a standardized price index measured at a precise time, offering multiple opportunities to assess different price levels.
All markets share the same core resolution mechanism: the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 27, 2026, will be compared against a specific threshold. If this average exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., $54,000, $55,000, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Each market features a distinct threshold, creating a range of possible outcomes based on the same underlying price data capture. The official price is derived from averaging 60 RTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration, ensuring consistency across all thresholds. Secondary rules clarify that while public sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the definitive price comes exclusively from CF Benchmarks' methodology.