TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BTC price on Aug 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Aug 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$4,641,555

$64,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$64,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$64,500 or above

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$705,421
N/A
N/A
$280,462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,000 or above

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$426,902
N/A
N/A
$105,620
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,500 or above

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$294,659
N/A
N/A
$66,693
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,000 or above

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$245,663
N/A
N/A
$52,628
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,000 or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$185,117
N/A
N/A
$44,117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,500 or above

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$178,550
N/A
N/A
$42,499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89,620
N/A
N/A
$34,879
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,500 or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,788
N/A
N/A
$26,387
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,474
N/A
N/A
$16,378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,431
N/A
N/A
$10,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,099
N/A
N/A
$8,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,209
N/A
N/A
$3,337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,438
N/A
N/A
$8,859
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,635
N/A
N/A
$3,844
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,065
N/A
N/A
$3,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$55,500 or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,606
N/A
N/A
$2,605
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$51,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,834
N/A
N/A
$1,740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
$746
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,487
N/A
N/A
$1,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,138
N/A
N/A
$920
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,134
N/A
N/A
$1,134
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$55,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$847
N/A
N/A
$847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
$348
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$51,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
$221
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will exceed a specific threshold on August 7, 2026, according to Kalshi, with resolution based on CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index. The current probability of the leading outcome stands at 99.0%. Watch for the market to resolve at 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026, based on the average price during the sixty seconds before that time.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026. For each market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $51,000, $52,000, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is determined by collecting 60 BRTI prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. This methodology ensures a consistent and precise measurement for all threshold-based markets, with each threshold representing a distinct price level that Bitcoin must surpass for the respective market to conclude positively.

Frequently asked questions

The BTC price market dashboard on Kalshi tracks the current odds and price history for the predicted Bitcoin value as of Aug 7, 2026. It shows real-time updates on market sentiment and includes the latest 24-hour volume of $2,470,175. This tool helps traders monitor how the market expects Bitcoin to perform, giving insight into collective investor behavior leading up to the settlement date.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will match the actual BTC price at the specified time, ensuring a clear and objective resolution based on widely accessible data sources.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major Bitcoin ETF announcements, regulatory updates from key governments, unexpected macroeconomic data, or large institutional trades. Geopolitical tensions and technological developments within the Bitcoin network can also create volatility, influencing trader sentiment and adjusting odds in the lead-up to Aug 7, 2026.