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BTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$9,194,121

$77,400 or above

 - Kalshi

$77,400 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$77,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$482,397
N/A
N/A
$107,471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,300 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$404,083
N/A
N/A
$64,928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,200 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$296,168
N/A
N/A
$58,249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$279,201
N/A
N/A
$52,899
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$267,796
N/A
N/A
$29,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,500 or above

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$260,551
N/A
N/A
$80,872
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,500 or above

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$260,106
N/A
N/A
$66,821
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$241,569
N/A
N/A
$34,378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,000 or above

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$194,176
N/A
N/A
$62,574
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,100 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$193,677
N/A
N/A
$37,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$189,615
N/A
N/A
$35,533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,000 or above

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$187,107
N/A
N/A
$65,785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,500 or above

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$174,205
N/A
N/A
$69,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,000 or above

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$173,406
N/A
N/A
$68,228
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,500 or above

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$168,692
N/A
N/A
$54,193
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$168,235
N/A
N/A
$36,611
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,000 or above

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$158,368
N/A
N/A
$55,809
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,000 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$157,198
N/A
N/A
$39,887
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,873
N/A
N/A
$43,564
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,086
N/A
N/A
$25,901
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$142,064
N/A
N/A
$33,877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$140,300
N/A
N/A
$57,640
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,000 or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$138,068
N/A
N/A
$58,597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,000 or above

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119,718
N/A
N/A
$33,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117,039
N/A
N/A
$28,998
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 130

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will surpass $54,999.99 by 5pm EDT on August 21, 2026, according to data from Kalshi. The current probability of the leading outcome stands at 99.0%, with settlement based on the CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index. Watch the price action in the final trading window leading up to the 5pm EDT deadline on August 21, 2026, as this will determine the market's resolution.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 21, 2026. For each market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $50,000, $55,000, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is determined by collecting 60 BRTI prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. This methodology ensures consistency across all markets, with each threshold representing a distinct price level that Bitcoin must surpass for a positive resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the BTC price market dashboard tracks the current odds, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume of $5,941,392. This real-time view shows how traders on Kalshi expect Bitcoin’s value to move leading up to the key date. The data reflects collective sentiment and can highlight shifts in market confidence as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional spot price forecasts, prediction market odds offer a forward-looking perspective shaped by trader sentiment and market dynamics. While analysts may focus on fundamentals or technical indicators, this market incorporates a broader range of influences, including macroeconomic trends and investor behavior. The resulting odds often diverge from short-term price action, providing a unique view of anticipated value at Aug 21, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the actual Bitcoin price at the specified time will be compared against the market’s predictions, closing all open positions based on the confirmed result.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major economic announcements, regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrencies, or unexpected technological breakthroughs within the Bitcoin network. Institutional trades, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in investor sentiment may also cause volatility. Any event that influences Bitcoin’s perceived value or macro conditions can reshape trader expectations and move odds meaningfully as Aug 21, 2026 approaches.