TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will determine whether Bitcoin's price, measured by a specific benchmark index, reaches various thresholds by a set date and time. Each threshold represents a different price level that Bitcoin must exceed for the corresponding market to settle positively.
All markets share a unified methodology for determining Bitcoin's price at 5 PM EDT on August 15, 2026. The resolution hinges on whether the simple average of the sixty-second readings from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in the final minute before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specified threshold. Each market features a distinct threshold, ranging incrementally from $52,500 to $72,250 or above. If the calculated average surpasses the relevant threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The BRTI serves as the exclusive source for price validation, with the average of sixty readings taken in the last minute before expiration constituting the official price. This approach ensures consistency across all thresholds, with each market operating independently based on its unique price target.