TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will determine whether Bitcoin's price, measured by a specific benchmark index, exceeds various thresholds at a precise moment in the future. The outcomes reflect different price levels that could be achieved by that time, offering a range of possible scenarios.
All markets share a unified methodology for determining Bitcoin's price at 5 PM EDT on August 13, 2026. The resolution hinges on the simple average of the sixty-second readings from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in the final minute before 5 PM EDT. Each individual market specifies a unique price threshold; if the calculated average exceeds the respective threshold (e.g., $53,500, $54,000, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules consistently clarify that while public sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the official price for resolution purposes comes exclusively from the CF Benchmarks' BRTI, emphasizing the importance of using their data for accuracy. This structure allows for a comprehensive assessment of potential price outcomes across a wide spectrum of values.