TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will determine whether Bitcoin's price, measured by a specific benchmark index, reaches various thresholds by a set time in the future. Each threshold represents a different price level that Bitcoin must surpass for the corresponding market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets share a common structure for determining Bitcoin's price at 5 PM EDT on August 1, 2026. The resolution hinges on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT exceeds a specified threshold. For each market, the threshold is uniquely defined (e.g., $53,500, $54,000, etc.). If the calculated average price surpasses the market's threshold, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The BRTI is emphasized as the definitive source for price determination, with the final value being the average of 60 readings taken in the final minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency across all markets, with each threshold serving as the sole differentiating factor in resolution criteria.