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Brent crude oil price on October 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Brent crude oil price on October 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$36,032

Above $100

 - Kalshi

Above $100 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $100

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,915
N/A
N/A
$2,053
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $99.50

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,725
N/A
N/A
$3,641
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $99

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,037
N/A
N/A
$2,205
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $98.50

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,918
N/A
N/A
$168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $98

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,198
N/A
N/A
$632
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $95.50

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$735
N/A
N/A
$735
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $96

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
$478
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $94

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $97.50

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $97

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $100.50

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,246
N/A
N/A
$1,866
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $101

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$1,215
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $102.50

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,828
N/A
N/A
$845
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $103

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,533
N/A
N/A
$1,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $102

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,211
N/A
N/A
$660
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $101.50

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,186
N/A
N/A
$489
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $103.50

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
$466
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $94.50

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $95

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $96.50

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets tracks potential fluctuations in Brent crude oil pricing at a specific future moment. Each market evaluates whether the price exceeds a particular threshold, offering insights into various price levels that might be reached.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil at 5:00 PM EDT on October 05, 2026. The closing price is defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval, meaning the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. Settlement values are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the given time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the resolution. Each individual market resolves to 'Yes' if the closing price exceeds its specified threshold, and 'No' otherwise.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Brent crude oil market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for Brent crude oil on October 5, 2026. You’ll find the highest probability outcome, along with a history of how prices have moved over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $29,427, and the total volume traded to date, which is $36,032. This allows you to see how actively traders are participating and how sentiment is shifting in this market.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of what will happen with the price of Brent crude oil. These odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts, as they represent a real-money view of future outcomes. While many analysts predict oil prices based on economic models and geopolitical factors, this market aggregates the insights of a diverse group of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. The difference between this market’s implied probability and those of expert forecasts can be a valuable signal for understanding market sentiment.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for Brent crude oil, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more traders believe the price will be higher, they bid up the prices of contracts reflecting those higher prices, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) settlement price for Brent crude oil futures contracts expiring in November 2026, as reported at 5:00 PM EDT on October 5, 2026. The final price will be determined by this publicly available data point, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution for this market.

Numerous factors could influence the price of Brent crude oil and, therefore, move this market. Major geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are significant catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like Chinese economic growth) or supply disruptions, could also have a substantial impact. Additionally, shifts in global energy policy, technological advancements in renewable energy, and even severe weather events affecting oil infrastructure could all move this market before Oct 5, 2026.