TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Brent crude oil price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?
kalshi

Brent crude oil price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$35,096
Volume 24h:
$23,064
312%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$30,380
222%

Above $95.99

 - Kalshi

Above $95.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:22h:01m

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

86%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 93¢ buys you 108 shares | Odds: 86% Total Payout: $108 | Net Profit: $8 Multiplier: 1.08x | ROI: 8% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $95.99

Trade
86%
Yes 93¢No 13¢
6¢
N/A
$21
0%
N/A
$21
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $103.99

63%
Yes 61¢No 48¢
9¢
N/A
$758
0%
N/A
$377
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $105.99

40%
Yes 46¢No 60¢
6¢
N/A
$1,044
0%
N/A
$992
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $109.99

32%
40%
Yes 28¢No 77¢
5¢
N/A
$2,830
600%
N/A
$2,283
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $107.99

31%
41%
Yes 35¢No 70¢
5¢
N/A
$4,083
158%
N/A
$2,421
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $111.99

18%
33%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
4¢
N/A
$7,585
284%
N/A
$5,851
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $113.99

14%
24%
Yes 19¢No 87¢
6¢
N/A
$4,769
516%
N/A
$4,672
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $129.99

10%
6%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$1,704
2%
N/A
$1,704
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $115.99

9%
17%
Yes 12¢No 92¢
4¢
N/A
$6,897
387%
N/A
$6,675
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $117.99

7%
24%
Yes 14¢No 95¢
9¢
N/A
$1,193
14%
N/A
$1,193
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $123.99

7%
Yes 11¢No 100¢
11¢
N/A
$564
0%
N/A
$553
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $121.99

5%
3%
Yes 9¢No 98¢
7¢
N/A
$2,043
31%
N/A
$2,043
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $119.99

5%
8%
Yes 15¢No 98¢
13¢
N/A
$1,560
56%
N/A
$1,560
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $127.99

5%
Yes 11¢No 100¢
11¢
N/A
$35
0%
N/A
$25
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $125.99

5%
Yes 11¢No 100¢
11¢
N/A
$10
0%
N/A
$10
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $91.99

N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $93.99

N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $97.99

N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $99.99

N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 1m
Active
kalshi

Above $101.99

N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 1m
Active
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets tracks potential future price levels of Brent crude oil at a specific moment in time. Each outcome represents a different price threshold that the oil might surpass or fail to reach by the close of trading on that day. The resolution depends entirely on the actual market price at the exact settlement time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil at 5:00 PM EST on November 06, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold, and resolves to 'Yes' if the closing price exceeds that threshold. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and is considered the official close at 5:00:00 PM. If data for the specified time is unavailable, the most recent published data prior to that time will be used for resolution. All markets share these uniform settlement rules, differing only in their respective price thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Brent crude oil market tracks the current implied probabilities of various price outcomes for Brent crude oil on November 6, 2026. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $35,096, and the 24-hour volume, which stands at $22,943. The dashboard also displays the top outcome currently favored by traders, though probabilities are not available at this time. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the price will land.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi regarding the future price of Brent crude oil. It’s common to see discrepancies between these odds and traditional analyst forecasts, as markets incorporate a wider range of information and are continuously updated. Do analysts anticipate a price increase or decrease by Nov 6, 2026? Are they factoring in geopolitical risks or shifts in global demand to the same degree as traders in this market? Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the diverse perspectives on the future of oil prices.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different price outcomes. The prices of these contracts determine the implied probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations about the future price of Brent crude oil. The current volume of $35,096 indicates a degree of interest and participation in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, specifically at 5:00 PM EST on that date. The outcome will be determined by the closing price of Brent crude oil as reported by a credible public source. This closing price will be verified against credible public reporting, establishing the final outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to see which predictions proved accurate and receive payouts accordingly. It’s important to monitor events leading up to this date, as they could significantly influence the final price.

Several factors could significantly move this market before it resolves on Nov 6, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions, or changes in OPEC+ production policies are major catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, major weather events that disrupt oil supply chains, or significant technological advancements in energy production, could all contribute to price fluctuations and shifts in trader sentiment within this market.