TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above $95.99
- Kalshi
Above $95.99 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:22h:01m
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This set of markets tracks potential future price levels of Brent crude oil at a specific moment in time. Each outcome represents a different price threshold that the oil might surpass or fail to reach by the close of trading on that day. The resolution depends entirely on the actual market price at the exact settlement time.
All markets resolve based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil at 5:00 PM EST on November 06, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold, and resolves to 'Yes' if the closing price exceeds that threshold. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and is considered the official close at 5:00:00 PM. If data for the specified time is unavailable, the most recent published data prior to that time will be used for resolution. All markets share these uniform settlement rules, differing only in their respective price thresholds.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi regarding the future price of Brent crude oil. It’s common to see discrepancies between these odds and traditional analyst forecasts, as markets incorporate a wider range of information and are continuously updated. Do analysts anticipate a price increase or decrease by Nov 6, 2026? Are they factoring in geopolitical risks or shifts in global demand to the same degree as traders in this market? Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the diverse perspectives on the future of oil prices.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different price outcomes. The prices of these contracts determine the implied probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations about the future price of Brent crude oil. The current volume of $35,096 indicates a degree of interest and participation in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, specifically at 5:00 PM EST on that date. The outcome will be determined by the closing price of Brent crude oil as reported by a credible public source. This closing price will be verified against credible public reporting, establishing the final outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to see which predictions proved accurate and receive payouts accordingly. It’s important to monitor events leading up to this date, as they could significantly influence the final price.
Several factors could significantly move this market before it resolves on Nov 6, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions, or changes in OPEC+ production policies are major catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, major weather events that disrupt oil supply chains, or significant technological advancements in energy production, could all contribute to price fluctuations and shifts in trader sentiment within this market.