TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brent crude oil price on June 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Brent crude oil price on June 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$205,032

above $79.50

 - Kalshi

above $79.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 5:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $79.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,484
N/A
N/A
$13,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $79

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,070
N/A
N/A
$7,799
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $78

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,382
N/A
N/A
$12,721
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $78.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,871
N/A
N/A
$9,734
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,827
N/A
N/A
$16,624
Settled
No
kalshi

above $80.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,870
N/A
N/A
$6,560
Settled
No
kalshi

above $81

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,115
N/A
N/A
$3,895
Settled
No
kalshi

above $82

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,076
N/A
N/A
$6,192
Settled
No
kalshi

above $82.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,421
N/A
N/A
$1,432
Settled
No
kalshi

above $83.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,995
N/A
N/A
$3,485
Settled
No
kalshi

above $81.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,911
N/A
N/A
$2,956
Settled
No
kalshi

above $85

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,159
N/A
N/A
$1,548
Settled
No
kalshi

above $84

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,577
N/A
N/A
$2,398
Settled
No
kalshi

above $83

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,317
N/A
N/A
$1,395
Settled
No
kalshi

above $84.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,607
N/A
N/A
$1,536
Settled
No
kalshi

above $87.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
$1,455
Settled
No
kalshi

above $87

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,579
N/A
N/A
$1,422
Settled
No
kalshi

above $86

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,388
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
kalshi

above $85.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
$918
Settled
No
kalshi

above $86.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$595
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event tracks the Brent crude oil futures price at a specific moment on June 16, 2026. Brent crude is a major global oil benchmark whose price reflects geopolitical events, OPEC production decisions, global energy demand, and inventory levels. The settlement uses the closing price of a one-minute trading interval at 5:00 PM EDT for the BRENTQ6 contract.

Kalshi

Settlement is determined by comparing the 1-minute candlestick close price for Brent crude oil using the BRENTQ6 contract on June 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT against multiple price thresholds ranging from $78.00 to $87.50 USD per barrel, each in $0.50 increments. The settlement contract rolls forward to the next contract month 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day, with contracts named after their delivery month per standard exchange symbology. The close price represents the final price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. All settlement values are rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source at the designated time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Brent crude oil price market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this commodity contract. The interface displays current market sentiment on where Brent crude will trade at a specific moment in time, along with 24-hour volume and liquidity metrics. Traders use this data to monitor how the market is pricing energy futures relative to spot prices, geopolitical developments, and supply-demand fundamentals. The dashboard provides a snapshot of collective forecasting activity, helping participants gauge consensus expectations for oil valuations during the specified settlement window.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than point estimates. While energy analysts publish price targets based on models and fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Prediction markets tend to incorporate breaking news and sentiment shifts faster than periodic analyst reports. Comparing the implied price from current odds to consensus forecasts can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than the mainstream energy research community expects.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers trade contracts representing different price ranges or outcomes for Brent crude. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit limit and market orders, and the platform matches them in real time, with the mid-market price reflecting the consensus valuation at any moment. Each contract's price (typically quoted from 0 to 100) translates directly to implied probability or expected value. As new information emerges—OPEC announcements, inventory data, geopolitical events—traders adjust their bids and offers, causing the market price to move dynamically until the resolution window closes.

Major catalysts for this market include OPEC production decisions, geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions, US inventory reports, and macroeconomic data affecting energy demand. Unexpected supply disruptions, refinery outages, or shipping incidents can trigger sharp price swings. Central bank policy announcements and currency movements also influence crude valuations, since oil is priced in US dollars. Seasonal demand patterns, hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico, and shifts in renewable energy adoption represent longer-term factors. Traders should monitor energy news outlets, government reports, and global economic calendars for developments that could reshape expectations before the market settles.