TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the closing price of Brent crude oil futures (BRENTQ6 contract) at a specific moment on June 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, with multiple price thresholds established to measure whether the price reaches or exceeds various levels. The market structure creates a series of linked outcomes based on incremental price increases in the underlying commodity.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for the Brent crude oil price on June 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT can be compared against consensus analyst forecasts and energy sector outlooks published by major financial institutions and commodity research firms. Analysts typically issue price targets based on supply-demand models, geopolitical risk assessments, and macroeconomic trends. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than traditional forecasts, though both sources reflect uncertainty about global energy dynamics, OPEC policy, and economic growth over the next eighteen months. Comparing the two approaches can reveal where market participants diverge from expert consensus.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Brent crude oil price on June 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts that traders buy and sell based on their expectations of where Brent will settle at that exact moment. Prices reflect the probability each outcome attracts, with higher-priced contracts indicating stronger market confidence. Kalshi's order-matching engine aggregates buy and sell orders, and contract prices move continuously as new information arrives and trader sentiment shifts. The current top outcome and its implied probability are visible on the dashboard, allowing traders to assess whether they believe the market is overpricing or underpricing that scenario.
The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. At that moment, the Brent crude oil price on June 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is locked in, and the outcome is determined by the official settlement price. The specific data source and pricing methodology used to establish the final price are defined in the market's resolution criteria. Once the settlement price is confirmed, contracts corresponding to the correct outcome are paid in full, and all other contracts expire worthless. Traders should review the market terms to understand exactly which price feed or reference will be used for final determination.
Major signals that could move Brent crude oil prices by June 02, 2026 include OPEC production decisions and compliance rates, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia, global economic growth forecasts, US dollar strength, inventory reports from the EIA and IEA, renewable energy adoption rates, and unexpected supply disruptions. Recession fears or accelerating inflation could shift energy demand expectations significantly. Strategic petroleum reserve releases or purchases by major economies also influence prices. Additionally, technological breakthroughs in alternative energy or changes in transportation demand patterns could reshape the long-term price outlook. Traders monitor these factors continuously to adjust their positions.