TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brent crude oil price on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Brent crude oil price on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$103,580

above $71.50

 - Kalshi

above $71.50 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 5:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $71.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,976
N/A
N/A
$3,564
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,328
N/A
N/A
$2,405
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,592
N/A
N/A
$2,986
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $67.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,278
N/A
N/A
$1,277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,161
N/A
N/A
$931
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $67

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,989
N/A
N/A
$9,277
Settled
No
kalshi

above $72.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,145
N/A
N/A
$4,771
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,892
N/A
N/A
$8,379
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,254
N/A
N/A
$3,431
Settled
No
kalshi

above $75

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,895
N/A
N/A
$1,384
Settled
No
kalshi

above $76.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,645
N/A
N/A
$1,567
Settled
No
kalshi

above $75.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,472
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
No
kalshi

above $74

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,334
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
kalshi

above $74.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,124
N/A
N/A
$853
Settled
No
kalshi

above $76

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event tracks the Brent crude oil futures price at a specific moment on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT using the BRENTU6 contract. Brent crude is a major global oil benchmark whose price reflects supply disruptions, OPEC decisions, and global energy demand. The settlement uses the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick at that exact time.

Kalshi

Settlement is determined by comparing the 1-minute candlestick close price for Brent crude oil using the BRENTU6 contract on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT against multiple price thresholds ranging from $67.00 to $76.50 USD per barrel, each in $0.50 increments. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day. The settlement contract is named after its delivery month per standard exchange symbology. The close price represents the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. All settlement values are rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Frequently asked questions

The Brent crude oil price market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for where Brent crude will trade on July 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. The interface displays current market sentiment through live odds, 24-hour trading volume of $69,150, and cumulative volume of $103,580 across all traders. This market reflects collective forecasts from participants betting on specific price levels, updated continuously as new trades execute. The dashboard helps traders monitor momentum and liquidity before the settlement date arrives.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets rather than survey opinions. Traders in this market are financially incentivized to price in geopolitical risks, supply disruptions, and macroeconomic shifts that may lag in published analyst reports. While Wall Street forecasters update quarterly or monthly, this market reprices continuously as new information emerges. Comparing the implied price from current odds to consensus analyst targets reveals whether traders are pricing in upside or downside surprises relative to expert consensus.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different Brent crude price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a specific outcome, and the bid-ask spread reflects the market's confidence in that outcome. Traders profit by correctly predicting where the price will settle, with payouts determined by which range contains the actual closing price on the resolution date. Liquidity and tightness of spreads depend on overall trading volume and participant conviction.

This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by where Brent crude closes on that specific date and time, verified against authoritative energy market data. Traders holding shares in the correct price range receive their payout once settlement is finalized. Early resolution is unlikely unless the event is canceled or postponed by the platform.

Major catalysts include OPEC production decisions, geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions, U.S. inventory reports, and broader macroeconomic shifts affecting energy demand. Recession fears or aggressive interest-rate changes can weigh on crude prices, while supply shocks—such as refinery outages or sanctions—typically push prices higher. Seasonal summer demand patterns and dollar strength also influence Brent valuations. Traders monitor weekly EIA data releases and central bank communications closely, as these often trigger sharp repricing in this market.