TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brent crude oil price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Brent crude oil price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$93,538

Above $90.50

 - Kalshi

Above $90.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $90.50

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,620
N/A
N/A
$5,780
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $90

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,083
N/A
N/A
$6,430
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $89.50

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,857
N/A
N/A
$4,957
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $89

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,827
N/A
N/A
$3,608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $88.50

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,888
N/A
N/A
$3,045
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $87.50

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,445
N/A
N/A
$1,369
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $88

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,890
N/A
N/A
$1,595
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $87

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,067
N/A
N/A
$1,031
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
$524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $86

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
$347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $86.50

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $84.50

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $85

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $85.50

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $91

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,164
N/A
N/A
$6,178
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $92

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,425
N/A
N/A
$4,220
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $91.50

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,078
N/A
N/A
$2,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $92.50

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,902
N/A
N/A
$2,496
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the precise closing price of Brent crude oil at a specific moment in the future. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various potential price levels. The outcomes are determined by actual market data at the close of a one-minute trading interval.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the one-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil at 5:00 PM EDT on August 31, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the closing price exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $83, $83.50, etc.). Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price refers to the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval; for example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If data for the specified time is unavailable, the most recently published data is used to determine the settlement. All markets share these consistent settlement rules, with each market evaluating against its unique price threshold.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Brent crude oil price market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $76,371. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the likelihood of Brent crude closing above a key threshold by the end date. The interface updates continuously, reflecting market sentiment and any major shifts in trading activity as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and macro models, traders on Kalshi react quickly to new data, news, and short-term price movements. This can lead to divergence, especially around geopolitical developments or supply shocks that shift near-term outlooks.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, adjusting dynamically with each trade. Market depth and liquidity influence price discovery, and any surge in volume of $76,371 can cause rapid shifts in the odds.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the official closing price of Brent crude at the specified time, as reported by authoritative sources. Traders can monitor reputable industry feeds or financial news platforms for real-time updates leading up to resolution.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 31, 2026. Geopolitical tensions, especially in major oil-producing regions, can cause rapid re-pricing. Supply disruptions — whether from sanctions, accidents, or production cuts — often drive upward pressure on prices. Conversely, strong economic data indicating lower demand or increased inventory levels may push odds in the other direction. Watch key OPEC meetings and global economic indicators for potential catalysts.