TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brent crude oil price on August 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Brent crude oil price on August 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$119,478

Above $87.50

 - Kalshi

Above $87.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $87.50

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,185
N/A
N/A
$7,548
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $87

100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,604
N/A
N/A
$7,596
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $86.50

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,271
N/A
N/A
$4,910
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $82.50

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,669
N/A
N/A
$6,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $82

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,005
N/A
N/A
$6,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $85.50

100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,117
N/A
N/A
$2,212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $86

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,580
N/A
N/A
$2,012
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83.50

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,342
N/A
N/A
$2,468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $84

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,306
N/A
N/A
$1,891
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,157
N/A
N/A
$3,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $85

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,146
N/A
N/A
$1,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $81.50

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,000
N/A
N/A
$1,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $81

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,427
N/A
N/A
$1,969
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $84.50

100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,369
N/A
N/A
$1,763
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $80

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,135
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $80.50

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,881
N/A
N/A
$1,239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $79

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,488
N/A
N/A
$972
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $78

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,074
N/A
N/A
$879
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $79.50

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
$947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $78.50

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $88.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,506
N/A
N/A
$4,489
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $88.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,399
N/A
N/A
$1,646
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
$1,162
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89.50

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $90.00

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event determines whether Brent crude oil prices exceed specific thresholds at a precise moment in time, reflecting immediate market conditions rather than trends or averages.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil using the BRENTV6 contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 10, 2026. The settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract five business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the closing price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If data is unavailable for the specified time, the most recent published data is used. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the closing price exceeds the specified threshold; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Brent crude oil price market dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $93,264. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the expected price of Brent crude oil as of Aug 10, 2026. The dashboard updates in real time, reflecting market sentiment and any notable shifts in trading activity for this specific commodity event.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and macroeconomics, traders in this market price in real-time signals and sentiment. This can lead to divergence, especially around key geopolitical or supply-demand events that shift expectations rapidly.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks to determine the probability of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate assessment of all active traders on the platform, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading volume. Prices update dynamically as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual Brent crude oil price at the specified time, removing speculation and aligning the market result with observed reality.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including OPEC+ production decisions, unexpected geopolitical tensions affecting supply routes, inventory reports from major agencies, and shifts in global demand due to economic changes. Each of these factors can cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their expectations about the future price of Brent crude oil.