TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brent crude oil price on August 03, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Brent crude oil price on August 03, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$226,471

Above $83.50

 - Kalshi

Above $83.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $83.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,613
N/A
N/A
$12,394
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $82.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,868
N/A
N/A
$11,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,714
N/A
N/A
$7,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $82

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,608
N/A
N/A
$2,889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $81.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,454
N/A
N/A
$4,601
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $81

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,040
N/A
N/A
$2,396
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $84

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,526
N/A
N/A
$8,825
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $86

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,649
N/A
N/A
$2,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,367
N/A
N/A
$3,340
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,702
N/A
N/A
$3,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,648
N/A
N/A
$3,387
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $87.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,286
N/A
N/A
$2,239
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $88

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,191
N/A
N/A
$2,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $86.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,794
N/A
N/A
$2,868
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $90.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,642
N/A
N/A
$2,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $91.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,227
N/A
N/A
$2,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $87

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,157
N/A
N/A
$2,296
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,002
N/A
N/A
$3,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,727
N/A
N/A
$3,995
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $95.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,665
N/A
N/A
$3,215
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $88.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,108
N/A
N/A
$1,876
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,024
N/A
N/A
$1,707
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $91.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,982
N/A
N/A
$2,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $95.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,383
N/A
N/A
$1,867
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $92.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,153
N/A
N/A
$1,893
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event determines whether Brent crude oil prices will exceed specific thresholds at a precise moment in the future. It tracks the closing price of a standardized oil futures contract at a set time, reflecting market expectations about supply, demand, and global economic conditions influencing oil valuation.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil using the BRENTV6 contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 03, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold price; if the closing price exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract five business days before the current contract's last trading day. Contracts are named by their delivery month, not expiration date, and prices are rounded to the nearest cent. The closing price for a given timestamp reflects the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If data is unavailable for the specified time, the most recent published data determines the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Brent crude oil price market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $133,141. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the expected price of Brent crude oil as of August 3, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. The interface updates continuously, reflecting the latest market sentiment and trading activity specific to this event on Kalshi.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro models and supply-demand projections, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to news, inventory reports, and geopolitical developments. The resulting odds can diverge noticeably from institutional outlooks, especially ahead of key events that shift market sentiment quickly.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual Brent crude oil price at the specified time, as reported by authoritative sources. Traders should monitor major financial news outlets and pricing agencies for the official closing value that determines payouts.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including weekly oil inventory reports from major agencies, unexpected geopolitical tensions affecting supply routes, and shifts in global demand due to economic changes. Central bank policies, especially those influencing energy consumption or inflation targets, may also impact trader sentiment. Any surprise production decisions by major oil exporters could cause rapid re-pricing in this market.