TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index will exceed 90.25 on May 28, 2026, reflecting price movements across breakfast-related agricultural and food products. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 98.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index reading on the specified date. Watch for the May 28, 2026 index release to see whether breakfast commodity prices remain elevated above the 90.25 threshold.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi offer a real-time, crowd-sourced alternative to traditional analyst forecasts on breakfast commodity prices. While analysts may publish periodic reports on inflation trends and commodity outlooks, prediction markets aggregate continuous trading signals from participants with financial incentives to forecast accurately. The Kalshi odds reflect dynamic market expectations as new economic data, supply reports, and inflation indicators emerge. Comparing the market's implied probability to consensus analyst views can reveal where traders see divergence from conventional wisdom on May 28 breakfast index levels.
On Kalshi, the Breakfast prices on May 28, 2026 contract is priced as a binary outcome: Will the Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index close above 91.15? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing yes or no positions, with the price reflecting the probability of the index exceeding that threshold. As new inflation data, commodity reports, and economic conditions emerge, the market price adjusts to reflect updated expectations. The current market probability guides traders on where the crowd expects breakfast commodity prices to settle on the specified date.
The Breakfast prices on May 28, 2026 market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index value recorded on May 28, 2026. The market settles based on whether that index closes above or below the 91.15 threshold. Traders should monitor Truflation's official data release and any announcements from Kalshi regarding the exact settlement time and data source to ensure clarity on the final outcome.
Several factors could shift market odds for breakfast commodity prices by May 28, 2026. Agricultural supply disruptions, weather events affecting grain and dairy production, energy price movements, and broader inflation trends will influence commodity costs. Federal Reserve policy decisions and inflation reports may reshape expectations for price levels. Geopolitical events affecting global food supply chains, currency fluctuations, and seasonal demand patterns also matter. Traders monitor USDA reports, commodity futures, and consumer price data as leading indicators. Any surprise in these economic signals could trigger significant repricing on Kalshi before resolution.