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417,059

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5

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Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
kalshi

Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)

Volume:
$19,343

At least 2%

 - Kalshi

At least 2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 6:24 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 2%

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,980
N/A
N/A
$3,475
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 3%

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,122
N/A
N/A
$1,400
1mo 4w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 7%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,809
N/A
N/A
$808
1mo 4w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 6%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,323
N/A
N/A
$1,273
1mo 4w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 4%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$482
1mo 4w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 5%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$486
1mo 4w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 8%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
1mo 4w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 1%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This tracks the performance of a political figure in an upcoming national election, focusing on the share of votes they secure in the initial voting phase. The outcome depends on official tallies after all voting concludes and any subsequent certifications or recounts are finalized.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of valid votes Ronaldo Caiado receives in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, as officially reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral. The percentage is calculated from valid votes cast, excluding invalid, spoiled, blank, or rejected ballots, and rounded to two decimal places. If post-election recounts or certifications alter the percentage before market expiration, the most recent certified figure determines resolution. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from 1% to 8%, with any percentage equal to or above the specified threshold resulting in a 'Yes' outcome and below resulting in a 'No' outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Ronaldo Caiado vote share market tracks the current implied probability, price history, and 24-hour volume of $4,986. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood that Ronaldo Caiado will capture a specific percentage of votes in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election. The page updates in real time to reflect market activity and gives you a snapshot of investor sentiment toward his electoral performance through $19,343 in cumulative volume.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-round vote tallies are verified against credible public sources. The percentage of votes secured by Ronaldo Caiado will be compared to the predefined ranges in the contract terms, and the market will settle accordingly. Resolution occurs after all ballots are counted and results are officially announced, ensuring alignment with the definitive electoral data rather than preliminary estimates or projections.