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402,751

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30,217

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2,632

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5

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Brazil unemployment rate in July
kalshi

Brazil unemployment rate in July

Volume:
$4,219

Above 5.2%

 - Kalshi

Above 5.2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 11:45 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$608
N/A
N/A
$608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,668
N/A
N/A
$1,643
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.3%

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,440
N/A
N/A
$1,440
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.9%

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.6%

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.1%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks Brazil's unemployment rate for the month of July 2026, reflecting the country's labor market health during that period. A higher unemployment rate often signals economic challenges, while a lower rate may indicate growth and job creation. The outcome depends on whether the official rate meets or exceeds specific thresholds.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Brazil's officially reported unemployment rate for July 2026. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a specific threshold above 5.0%. If the reported rate equals or exceeds any of these thresholds, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same underlying data point—the actual unemployment rate for the specified month—and outcomes are determined solely by whether the rate crosses the respective threshold.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Brazil unemployment market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,538. It shows how traders price the likelihood of different unemployment rates for Brazil in July, reflecting market sentiment and expectations based on economic data and forecasts. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades occur, giving users insight into the current state of this market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may incorporate a wider range of economic indicators and historical trends into their models, while traders on Kalshi react quickly to news and data releases. This can lead to divergence, where market odds lean more toward a particular outcome if recent economic surprises occur.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price of this market through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible unemployment rates. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about Brazil’s economic conditions, recent employment data, and upcoming indicators. Volume of $4,219 shows the level of interest and liquidity supporting these prices.

This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Brazil unemployment rate for July is verified against credible public sources such as government statistics agencies and reputable financial news outlets. The final figure will determine which contract — representing the correct unemployment rate — settles in the market.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include key Brazilian employment reports, changes in monetary policy by the central bank, major economic policy announcements, and global market volatility affecting investor sentiment. Natural disasters, political developments, or sudden shifts in consumer confidence could also influence trader expectations and move prices before resolution.