TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brazil inflation rate in May
kalshi

Brazil inflation rate in May

Volume:
$9,722

Above 4.50%

 - Kalshi

Above 4.50% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 7:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.50%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,150
N/A
N/A
$2,287
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.60%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,098
N/A
N/A
$769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.55%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,278
N/A
N/A
$849
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.45%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
$360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.20%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.15%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.25%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.30%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.40%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.35%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Brazil's annual inflation rate will exceed 4.10% during the twelve-month period ending in May 2026. On Kalshi, the probability that inflation will be above this threshold stands at 98.0%. Resolution is determined by the official annual inflation rate in Brazil for May 2026. Watch for the inflation data release scheduled around June 10, 2026, which will settle this contract.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Brazil inflation rate in May event on Kalshi. You can monitor the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and liquidity metrics including 24-hour volume of $1,757 and total group volume of $9,722. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's evolving consensus on whether Brazil's inflation will exceed or remain below key thresholds in May 2026.

Key drivers of Brazil inflation expectations include central bank policy decisions and forward guidance, currency fluctuations affecting import costs, commodity price movements particularly for food and energy, labor market dynamics and wage pressures, and fiscal policy announcements. Monthly inflation data releases leading up to May will provide real-time signals, as will any shocks to global supply chains or domestic demand. Traders will also monitor Brazil's central bank communications regarding interest rate paths and inflation-targeting credibility.