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Brazil inflation rate in August
kalshi

What will Brazil's inflation rate be in August?

Volume:
$13,578

Above 4.10%

 - Kalshi

Above 4.10% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 7:55 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.00%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.20%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.00%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,619
N/A
N/A
$3,399
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.50%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,587
N/A
N/A
$1,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.40%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,831
N/A
N/A
$1,234
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.80%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.70%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.60%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.30%

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.90%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks whether Brazil's inflation rate will exceed certain thresholds in August 2026. Each threshold represents a specific level of price increases measured annually. The outcome depends on the actual inflation data released for that month.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple sequential thresholds for Brazil's annual inflation rate in August 2026, each defined by a specific percentage level. For any threshold specified—such as 4.00%, 4.10%, up to 5.00%—the market resolves to 'Yes' if the officially reported inflation rate for that month exceeds the corresponding threshold. If the inflation rate remains at or below the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All thresholds are assessed against the same official inflation data source for August 2026, ensuring consistency across all sub-markets. The structure allows participants to bet on the likelihood of inflation reaching increasingly higher levels, with each threshold acting as an independent but related condition within the same reporting period and geographic context.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Brazil inflation market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $35. This gives you a live view of how traders are pricing the probability of different inflation outcomes for Brazil in August. The chart shows fluctuations over time, helping you spot trends and shifts in market sentiment as new economic data emerges.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may publish their inflation projections based on models and historical trends, while traders in this market adjust prices based on real-time data, sentiment, and upcoming economic indicators. The difference between the two can highlight where consensus is strong or where unexpected shifts may be emerging.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the officially released inflation figure for Brazil’s August, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement aligned with widely accepted economic data sources.

Key signals that could shift this market include preliminary economic releases from Brazil, changes in global commodity prices, central bank announcements, and shifts in consumer spending data. Political developments or currency fluctuations may also influence trader sentiment, causing rapid price adjustments as new information reshapes expectations for August’s inflation figure.