TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader conviction about BNB's direction, while spot price expectations are shaped by technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and broader crypto market sentiment. This market synthesizes real-money bets from participants who believe they have an edge, creating a probabilistic forecast that often differs from casual price predictions. Comparing the implied odds here to analyst forecasts or your own directional view can reveal where the market consensus sits relative to other information sources and help identify potential mispricings.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where buying shares of either outcome shifts the price in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital deployed toward one side, the higher its implied probability climbs. This continuous pricing model ensures liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window, with all transactions settled on-chain.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once BNB's price movement on that date is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will reflect whether BNB closed higher or lower compared to its opening price on June 28, determined by reference to established price feeds and market data. Once the event is settled, traders' positions will be paid out according to the winning outcome.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum price action, updates to the Binance ecosystem, macroeconomic data releases, and changes in risk appetite across digital assets. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may also influence trader positioning. Unexpected news regarding exchanges, staking yields, or layer-one blockchain developments could trigger rapid repricing. Monitoring on-chain metrics, funding rates, and order book depth will help gauge how sentiment is shifting as the resolution date approaches.