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BNB Up or Down on June 26?
polymarket
predict

BNB Up or Down on June 26?

Volume:
$24,591

BNB Up or Down on June 26?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down on June 26?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BNB Up or Down on June 26?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$6,085
$21,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT price on Binance moves up or down between two specific timestamps: June 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (baseline) and June 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (comparison). Resolution depends on comparing the 1-minute candle close prices at these exact moments on Binance's BNB/USDT trading pair.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, data source, and edge case handling with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Binance BNB/USDT trading pair, 1-minute candles, close price at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT

Core resolution logic:

  • UP: June 25 2026 12:00 PM ET close price is LOWER than June 26 2026 12:00 PM ET close price
  • DOWN: June 25 2026 12:00 PM ET close price is HIGHER than June 26 2026 12:00 PM ET close price
  • 50-50 SPLIT: June 25 2026 12:00 PM ET close price is EXACTLY EQUAL to June 26 2026 12:00 PM ET close price
  • Data source must be Binance BNB/USDT pair only, not other exchanges or trading pairs

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Price Equality: If both candle closes are identical to the last decimal place, market resolves 50-50 split between UP and DOWN outcomes
  • Exchange Data Unavailability: Resolution depends on Binance data availability; if Binance is offline or data is corrupted at resolution time, this creates potential settlement risk
  • Timezone Precision: Both timestamps must be interpreted as Eastern Time (ET) at exactly 12:00 PM noon; daylight saving time status on those dates must be verified
  • 1-Minute Candle Selection: Resolution requires the specific 1-minute candle close at the exact timestamp; if Binance interface changes or candle data is unavailable, settlement may be disputed
Timing: Resolution occurs after June 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET when the second candle close price is finalized on BinanceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The BNB price movement market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Predict, creating a unified view of whether BNB will close higher or lower on June 26. This dashboard consolidates real-time odds and cumulative volume from both platforms, letting you see how consensus shifts as new information emerges. By tracking the same event across multiple venues, you gain insight into whether one platform's traders are more bullish or bearish than the other, and whether broader crypto sentiment is shifting toward upside or downside movement.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity on the upside, while Predict sees heavier action on the downside, pushing odds apart. Geographic arbitrage, platform-specific incentives, and differences in how each venue handles order flow can all widen spreads. Sophisticated traders exploit these gaps, but they rarely close completely until close to resolution.

Major catalysts include BNB ecosystem announcements, Binance regulatory updates, broader crypto market rallies or selloffs, and macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite. Technical breakouts above or below key support and resistance levels often trigger trader repositioning. Staking changes, token burns, or new exchange listings can also shift sentiment. Watch for Bitcoin and Ethereum moves, since BNB often correlates with top-tier crypto performance. Unexpected news from regulators or competitors can swing odds sharply in either direction.