TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down on July 10?
predict
polymarket

BNB Up or Down on July 10?

Volume:
$12,073

BNB Up or Down on July 10?

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down on July 10? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down on July 10?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BNB Up or Down on July 9?

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1,794
$10,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

These markets track whether BNB/USDT price moves up or down between two consecutive days at noon ET on Binance. The predict platform compares July 8 to July 9, while polymarket compares July 9 to July 10—creating a one-day temporal offset despite sharing the same group name.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms measure price movement on different calendar dates. Predict compares Jul 8 noon to Jul 9 noon; Polymarket compares Jul 9 noon to Jul 10 noon. This creates two distinct events with potentially different outcomes.Hero tip: These markets are temporally offset by one day. If you believe BNB will rise on July 10 specifically, use polymarket. If you believe it will rise on July 9 specifically, use predict. Holding both simultaneously does not hedge—it doubles your directional exposure across different dates.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolves based on price comparison between Jul 8 12:00 ET and Jul 9 12:00 ET. Up if Jul 9 close is higher; Down if Jul 9 close is lower; 50-50 if equal. Key Quote: 'Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final Close price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.'
  • polymarket: Resolves based on price comparison between Jul 9 12:00 ET and Jul 10 12:00 ET. Up if Jul 10 close is higher; Down if Jul 10 close is lower; 50-50 if equal. Key Quote: 'Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final Close price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Major catalysts include Binance regulatory announcements, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, macroeconomic data releases, and on-chain metrics like exchange inflows or whale transactions. Positive news—such as new exchange listings or protocol upgrades—typically drives bullish repricing, while regulatory crackdowns or market-wide liquidations can trigger sharp reversals. Technical levels and options expiry on competing venues may also influence intraday volatility. Monitoring crypto news feeds, social sentiment, and correlated asset movements helps you anticipate shifts in this market's odds before they fully materialize.