TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about BNB's direction, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot prices react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction through May 31, 9AM ET. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to consensus analyst targets or on-chain sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to mainstream expectations. Divergences often signal underpriced or overpriced outcomes.
On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" at the 9AM ET snapshot on May 31, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects the probability assigned by the market; for example, if "Up" trades at a higher price, it signals stronger conviction that BNB will rise. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given probability level.
BNB price direction by May 31, 9AM ET could be influenced by Binance ecosystem developments, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain activity metrics. Major protocol upgrades, partnerships, or exchange listing news could drive conviction in either direction. Broader crypto market sentiment, Fed policy signals, and institutional adoption trends also shape medium-term price expectations. Traders monitor these catalysts to adjust positions ahead of the resolution timestamp.