TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader conviction about BNB's direction by May 31, 2PM ET, often diverging from current spot prices or technical analysis. While spot markets price BNB's immediate value, prediction markets embed longer-term sentiment, regulatory outlook, and macro crypto conditions into their odds. Comparing Polymarket's implied probabilities to analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus forecasts may signal mispricing or emerging conviction shifts among traders.
On Polymarket, the BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET event is priced using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell binary outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome (Up or Down) reflects the ratio of liquidity and cumulative trading pressure in the pool. As traders deposit capital and place orders, the implied probability shifts in real time. Polymarket's pricing mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the May 31, 2PM ET resolution window.
The BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution occurs after the snapshot time, when the final BNB price is confirmed and compared to the reference level established at market creation. Winning shares are paid out based on which outcome occurred, and losing shares expire worthless. The exact determination of the reference price and settlement source is specified in the market's terms at creation. Traders should review the full market details to understand the precise resolution criteria and any potential edge cases.
BNB price action before May 31, 2PM ET could be driven by Binance ecosystem developments, regulatory announcements affecting major exchanges, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic data, and crypto market sentiment shifts. Staking or governance updates on the BNB Chain, exchange volume trends, and institutional adoption news may also influence trader positioning. Broader crypto volatility, Fed policy signals, and geopolitical events can cascade into altcoin markets. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and technical levels helps traders anticipate moves that could tip the outcome toward Up or Down before the resolution snapshot.